TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8a6…467c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT7644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.7
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$54.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$101.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.2
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$108.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.9
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+2,696.1%+$342.3
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6663.6%42 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.4
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$71.1
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$47.25
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+109%+$18.25
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+143%+$76.5
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oumar Sy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$49.2
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.1
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+152.1%+$54.3
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+238.2%+$49.3
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.4%+$33.3
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.