UFC · resolved market
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cce21694248c395595d5a4542711dec68d7c094df37eaabffe4cf11a63e3045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alberto Montesof Ricky Turcios, Alberto Montes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,373 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5181…e278backed Ricky Turcios | 0c | 180,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 103,035$65,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,592.91 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 66,868$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 61,396$38,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,560.17 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 22,726$8,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,181.48 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 21,120$7,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,814.4 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 16,310$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.66 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 13,492$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 13,171$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 13,000$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.98 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.96 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ricky Turcios | 36c | 10,128$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.02 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 9,981$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Alberto Montes | 62c | 8,614$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.14 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 7,800$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 6,564$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.68 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 6,029$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.12 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Ricky Turcios | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.96 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 4,665$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.04 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 3,275$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.93 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Alberto Montes | 78c | 3,219$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.08 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 3,124$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.88 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Alberto Montes | 62c | 2,847$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.77 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 2,800$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alberto Montes | 75c | 2,533$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.26 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 2,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…2c4ebacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 2,472$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 2,400$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 2,362$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.98 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alberto Montes | 60c | 1,973$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.32 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 1,847$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.87 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 1,822$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.08 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Ricky Turcios | 24c | 1,767$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.24 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ricky Turcios | 38c | 1,551$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.16 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ricky Turcios | 35c | 1,462$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.61 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Ricky Turcios | 38c | 1,434$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alberto Montes | 60c | 1,405$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.87 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 1,378$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Ricky Turcios | 38c | 1,323$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 1,241$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 1,166$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.38 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alberto Montes | 62c | 1,163$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.94 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 1,106$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Alberto Montes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Ricky Turcios | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Alberto Montes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 999.9$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Alberto Montes | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Ricky Turcios | 35c | 860.71$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ricky Turcios | 36c | 860.67$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.3 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Alberto Montes | 64c | 859.38$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ricky Turcios | 37c | 823$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.59 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 810$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 809.69$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.09 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 800.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Alberto Montes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ricky Turcios | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Ricky Turcios | 36c | 699.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed Ricky Turcios | 20c | 675$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Ricky Turcios | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 646.31$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…021dbacked Alberto Montes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ricky Turcios | 40c | 571.32$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Alberto Montes | 63c | 557.14$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Ricky Turcios | 38c | 541.42$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 523.66$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.52 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 507.78$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Ricky Turcios | 40c | 500.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Ricky Turcios | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ricky Turcios | 35c | 492.34$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ricky Turcios | 30c | 456.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Alberto Montes | 75c | 425.17$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 406.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Alberto Montes | 64c | 354.13$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Alberto Montes | 62c | 326.75$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Alberto Montes | 63c | 317$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Alberto Montes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Alberto Montes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ricky Turcios | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Ricky Turcios | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.