TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,936,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,936,535 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 978 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe308…25cdbacked LOUD23c51,223$11,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,760.2166437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed LOUD10c48,770$4,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,688.6935448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed LOUD12c34,366$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.893775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed LOUD3c31,534$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.0919122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed LYON60c29,684$17,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,915.6481143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked LYON78c25,133$19,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,619.3917163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bad…861fbacked LYON76c22,920$17,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500.833246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…c14ebacked LOUD12c21,247$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.81425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed LOUD22c21,155$4,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655.641,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked LOUD25c20,669$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,196.5731328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed LYON59c20,358$12,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,315.2417949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed LOUD25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.986556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked LOUD41c20,000$8,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,256.784151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed LOUD25c19,369$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.2521137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LOUD34c18,505$6,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,277.791,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed LOUD10c18,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9816454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9194…2ee1backed LOUD8c17,966$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.651540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed LOUD25c17,341$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,335.2311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked LYON75c17,040$12,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2604763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed LYON80c16,229$12,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.8739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed LYON66c13,306$8,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,511.1725446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LOUD23c13,217$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.141,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed LOUD15c13,148$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.7221028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed LOUD35c12,739$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.4831153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed LOUD18c12,250$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.5943442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a9…5225backed LOUD22c11,497$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.938739.1%34 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked LYON79c11,258$8,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.4138462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed LYON59c10,899$6,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.831036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LOUD41c10,886$4,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,437.671,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed LYON77c10,788$8,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.236453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD41c10,228$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.9790348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x560c…4755backed LOUD7c10,033$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7303534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8383…faa8backed LOUD17c10,000$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed LYON78c9,596$7,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.6120035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed LOUD23c9,560$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.3910521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed LYON75c8,922$6,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.2342840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed LYON76c8,794$6,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.3667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD8c8,690$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.772,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked LOUD37c8,146$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.493066.7%20 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD21c8,089$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.33,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed LYON58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36023020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed LYON69c7,900$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.9918451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed LOUD8c7,756$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.56435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed LOUD10c7,684$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.276719.4%13 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed LYON63c7,540$4,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.214757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed LOUD23c7,533$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.9111936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed LOUD15c7,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10038624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON59c7,489$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.061,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed LOUD13c7,453$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.3443151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed LYON75c7,201$5,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.284864.6%31 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed LOUD27c6,500$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LOUD24c6,479$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked LOUD18c6,459$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.193429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed LYON65c6,420$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.8423439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked LYON77c6,264$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.0670162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed LYON75c6,027$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.7848742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked LYON76c6,000$4,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.7859952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked LOUD35c5,673$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD41c5,600$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.982,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed LYON70c5,500$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65520454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed LOUD25c5,485$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.094736.2%17 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked LYON79c5,472$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.7625447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce29…2987backed LYON76c5,222$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.212572%18 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked LOUD11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55022930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed LOUD0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked LOUD11c5,000$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.624852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed LOUD10c5,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf030…12e2backed LOUD25c4,987$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.3113371.4%95 W · 38 L+23.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked LOUD14c4,892$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4175630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed LOUD24c4,841$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.787759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed LYON59c4,641$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON76c4,618$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.811,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed LOUD24c4,516$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.418829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked LOUD24c4,454$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.044238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed LOUD39c4,435$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.7560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked LOUD24c4,258$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.0514835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed LOUD8c4,103$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.925151%26 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed LOUD11c4,074$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.163630.6%11 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked LOUD21c4,067$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.9117839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked LYON58c4,000$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6765928.8%17 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed LOUD20c3,991$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed LYON67c3,980$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.3348448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked LOUD6c3,903$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.276297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked LYON79c3,894$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked LOUD21c3,624$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.329236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON78c3,590$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.7491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked LOUD19c3,527$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.7153640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.981,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked LYON63c3,475$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.0358420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked LOUD27c3,473$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.214338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed LOUD11c3,463$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7924323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LOUD20c3,444$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.7486251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked LOUD11c3,422$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.194252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked LOUD12c3,414$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed LOUD21c3,411$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.3544128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON75c3,393$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.11,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed LOUD21c3,320$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.222624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed LYON77c3,243$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.949348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked LOUD15c3,206$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48896057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LOUD22c3,200$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.7997427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.