TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LYON, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,658 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67e6…86edbacked LOUD64c9,121$5,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.0219648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed LYON53c5,560$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.828361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed LYON5c5,255$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed LYON1c3,718$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1389810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed LYON47c2,995$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.242050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD40c2,211$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.042,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked LOUD55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed LOUD51c2,046$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.9811150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed LYON48c1,192$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.3476953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7ec8backed LYON69c1,074$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.253369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked LYON2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked LYON2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked LOUD45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9978050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed LYON2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed LYON54c800$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.7339152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked LYON33c701.32$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.813542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked LYON2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked LOUD52c631.61$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.514338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD47c628.65$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.482,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…1bb0backed LYON32c615$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed LOUD65c552.28$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.312839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed LYON67c520$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.477545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LYON31c499.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15386649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked LYON55c465.55$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0582161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb054…aea4backed LYON32c436$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked LYON35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON34c422.28$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6366445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f0…3eb3backed LOUD71c422.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.012268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed LYON48c415.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb060…778ebacked LYON32c411$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…8e3bbacked LOUD68c407.36$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed LYON57c400$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23024649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed LOUD40c386.73$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.412545.6%57 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked LOUD33c352.22$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.993043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed LOUD72c332.37$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7813658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x766a…f2bcbacked LYON32c331$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc9…12aabacked LYON32c321$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2574…3c9fbacked LYON32c312$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed LYON14c307.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.910944%48 W · 61 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed LOUD71c304.92$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9221735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked LYON33c303.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed LOUD66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked LYON53c288$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.648254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de9…9dcbbacked LOUD68c285$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed LOUD71c281.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.561855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747c…fe9fbacked LOUD68c277$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0083…d149backed LOUD68c236$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7953…1199backed LOUD68c234$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eac…1770backed LOUD68c220$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5f…c06dbacked LOUD68c219$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d73…bfdabacked LOUD68c219$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed LOUD67c212.82$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…c802backed LOUD68c206$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed LYON42c203.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked LYON50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed LOUD66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd902…e2d5backed LOUD68c187$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed LYON55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed LYON56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.847951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…ae41backed LOUD68c173$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cd…3499backed LYON29c170.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.545450%27 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e2…4e48backed LOUD68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed LYON49c163.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0950749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked LOUD50c159.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.814100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked LYON32c157.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked LYON47c156$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3263247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked LOUD71c141.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5711863.6%75 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed LYON40c141.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.21,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed LYON55c128.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7216154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed LOUD71c118.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.426662.1%41 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed LOUD47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed LOUD67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed LOUD33c99.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.023043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed LYON34c99.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.547823.1%18 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked LYON49c95.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed LOUD53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.347055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked LYON33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked LYON53c78.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6518846.3%87 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed LYON49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.34143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed LOUD75c69.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3254054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76a3…2aa6backed LOUD48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed LYON50c54.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3534050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LYON28c54.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked LYON44c53.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed LOUD48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.085442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed LOUD66c49.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9934960.2%210 W · 139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed LYON29c49.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.644128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed LYON33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155750.9%29 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked LOUD54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.410749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed LYON51c39.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed LYON49c30.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1568253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed LOUD71c28.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3811651.7%60 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed LOUD69c28.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8541749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed LOUD72c28.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.959420.2%19 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked LYON53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518756.7%106 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…8bf0backed LYON53c27.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.737657.9%44 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70b9…cea8backed LOUD40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed LOUD68c22.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2322758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked LYON53c21.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2526049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed LOUD68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.