Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9c8008795847a556b9cb52f97264857ee3e222c92b90489f52cab36fa80ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,768 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.98 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 26c | 3,794$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.67 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 26c | 2,543$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.16 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 1,017$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.73 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Over | 35c | 885.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.13 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 26c | 551$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.74 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 68c | 441.65$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 333.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…1a19backed Over | 26c | 294.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 41c | 280$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 26c | 276$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 42c | 242$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 41c | 242$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 32c | 181.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 42c | 176$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 33c | 173.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 31c | 167.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 71c | 164.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…a06dbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 41c | 141$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 26c | 138$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over | 42c | 126.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 11c | 123.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…f9c1backed Over | 29c | 123$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…3518backed Over | 29c | 114$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…2926backed Over | 29c | 111$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Over | 31c | 96.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked Under | 68c | 73.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 29c | 69.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Over | 46c | 61.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 28c | 52.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 34c | 49.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…ef8ebacked Under | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91f…d5eebacked Under | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…6a61backed Over | 36c | 40.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…6118backed Under | 71c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Under | 79c | 37.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 34c | 36.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 226 | 36.7%83 W · 143 L | -16.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…f6a3backed Under | 71c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…dadbbacked Under | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327d…f206backed Under | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…51c5backed Under | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…21b6backed Under | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…6d4bbacked Under | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…7e2abacked Under | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…ebeebacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)LOUD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.