Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x002f9281305e3122dfa48e2f73c7f06f67b5cfa55b2dae5ab6515e07b7f9096c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LYON, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,878 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bad…861fbacked LYON | 61c | 20,744$12,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,580.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked LYON | 59c | 10,000$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LOUD | 40c | 8,604$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.18 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LOUD | 40c | 5,405$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed LOUD | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed LOUD | 40c | 4,000$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.22 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LOUD | 40c | 3,926$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.1 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed LOUD | 42c | 2,400$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LOUD | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked LOUD | 32c | 1,441$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.91 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed LYON | 49c | 1,301$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.45 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked LYON | 56c | 1,211$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.36 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed LOUD | 49c | 1,208$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.52 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked LYON | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed LYON | 50c | 953.78$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 27cpaid | +105%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked LYON | 60c | 630.24$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed LOUD | 47c | 621.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.72 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed LOUD | 46c | 600$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LYON | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LOUD | 44c | 543.08$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LOUD | 48c | 530.15$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.24 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed LYON | 53c | 525.17$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.34 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked LYON | 60c | 516.67$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD | 34c | 513.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.6 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed LOUD | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked LYON | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed LYON | 62c | 471.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed LYON | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 47c | 427.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed LOUD | 44c | 419$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed LOUD | 49c | 404.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed LOUD | 44c | 360$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed LOUD | 38c | 337.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked LYON | 60c | 333.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed LOUD | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LYON | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed LYON | 57c | 299.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked LYON | 67c | 286.09$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked LOUD | 44c | 273.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked LYON | 58c | 269.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed LYON | 61c | 263.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON | 58c | 260.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…3421backed LYON | 59c | 255.79$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed LYON | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked LOUD | 39c | 241.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed LOUD | 40c | 230$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…7fbebacked LYON | 57c | 222$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed LYON | 61c | 213.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed LYON | 57c | 200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed LOUD | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed LYON | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…1d14backed LOUD | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed LOUD | 51c | 196.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…a2b6backed LYON | 57c | 182$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…aa2abacked LYON | 57c | 179$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked LYON | 77c | 171.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed LYON | 59c | 151.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked LOUD | 19c | 150.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed LYON | 44c | 144.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…2908backed LOUD | 42c | 133$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed LYON | 78c | 130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed LYON | 57c | 122.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…8e1ebacked LOUD | 43c | 121$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked LYON | 67c | 111.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked LYON | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…756ebacked LOUD | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed LOUD | 42c | 101$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed LOUD | 52c | 100.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked LYON | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked LOUD | 46c | 98.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed LOUD | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LOUD | 14c | 90.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed LOUD | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…00babacked LOUD | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed LOUD | 48c | 88.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed LOUD | 33c | 86.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked LOUD | 40c | 79.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…7ebdbacked LOUD | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed LOUD | 40c | 77.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed LOUD | 43c | 77.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked LOUD | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed LYON | 58c | 68.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LOUD | 36c | 66.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…dd3fbacked LOUD | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…ad21backed LOUD | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed LOUD | 44c | 60.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked LOUD | 44c | 56.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed LYON | 50c | 54.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed LYON | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 51%128 W · 123 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LOUD | 42c | 49.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed LYON | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…30afbacked LYON | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed LYON | 60c | 45.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed LYON | 56c | 44.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed LYON | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…105ebacked LOUD | 43c | 41.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LYON | 62c | 40.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed LOUD | 39c | 39.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed LOUD | 45c | 38.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed LOUD | 56c | 35.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)LOUD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.