UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2954cca3112c130113fe7d756c802f7d5b1767490b2ae143d7776ca39715d23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mario Bautistaof Cory Sandhagen, Mario Bautista
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $983,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 679 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Cory Sandhagen | 58c | 263,538$152,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,852.13 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 102,848$43,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,259.89 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 73,509$30,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,774.99 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 63,000$35,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,909.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 55,493$32,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,540.63 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 52,500$30,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,975 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mario Bautista | 41c | 43,085$17,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,419.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Mario Bautista | 43c | 41,705$17,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,772.08 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Mario Bautista | 44c | 29,676$13,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,596.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Mario Bautista | 65c | 27,597$18,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,552.76 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Mario Bautista | 40c | 25,000$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,874.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Mario Bautista | 43c | 23,300$10,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,281 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mario Bautista | 41c | 21,890$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,807.02 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 21,209$12,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,089.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 21,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,180 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 18,614$10,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,357.68 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 15,986$9,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,058.76 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mario Bautista | 41c | 12,787$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.62 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Mario Bautista | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Mario Bautista | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 10,776$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.99 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Mario Bautista | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Mario Bautista | 41c | 9,687$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.51 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 9,678$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mario Bautista | 43c | 9,422$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.09 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Mario Bautista | 43c | 8,628$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.44 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Mario Bautista | 40c | 8,500$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 8,328$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.17 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc7…12cdbacked Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 8,274$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 8,000$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.61 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cory Sandhagen | 34c | 7,192$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.68 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Mario Bautista | 41c | 7,127$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.39 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…63cfbacked Mario Bautista | 42c | 6,908$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Mario Bautista | 73c | 6,828$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 6,600$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Cory Sandhagen | 33c | 6,320$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 6,269$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Mario Bautista | 42c | 6,030$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mario Bautista | 54c | 6,000$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.55 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 5,980$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.59 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Cory Sandhagen | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.82 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Cory Sandhagen | 48c | 5,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.97 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Mario Bautista | 43c | 4,438$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.69 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 4,281$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.31 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…f32ebacked Cory Sandhagen | 60c | 4,261$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.51 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Cory Sandhagen | 39c | 4,205$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 4,112$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Mario Bautista | 53c | 4,111$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.66 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Mario Bautista | 45c | 4,013$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.15 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Cory Sandhagen | 39c | 3,862$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cory Sandhagen | 18c | 3,764$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.13 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Cory Sandhagen | 48c | 3,753$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Cory Sandhagen | 27c | 3,715$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Cory Sandhagen | 24c | 3,702$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.74 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 3,611$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.17 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mario Bautista | 77c | 3,597$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Mario Bautista | 66c | 3,125$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.84 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 3,070$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 3,056$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Mario Bautista | 52c | 3,000$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.74 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Mario Bautista | 45c | 2,726$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 2,686$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.99 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 2,646$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.88 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…5c65backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 2,636$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Mario Bautista | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Mario Bautista | 43c | 2,387$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.38 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mario Bautista | 57c | 2,283$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.95 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Cory Sandhagen | 33c | 2,200$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.16 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Mario Bautista | 42c | 2,170$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb2…b48cbacked Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 2,059$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Cory Sandhagen | 58c | 2,054$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Cory Sandhagen | 29c | 2,018$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Mario Bautista | 68c | 2,009$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.82 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Mario Bautista | 68c | 2,001$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Mario Bautista | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Cory Sandhagen | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…25edbacked Mario Bautista | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Mario Bautista | 42c | 1,959$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Cory Sandhagen | 26c | 1,880$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Mario Bautista | 44c | 1,846$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Mario Bautista | 66c | 1,800$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Mario Bautista | 41c | 1,770$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…ca0cbacked Cory Sandhagen | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Mario Bautista | 52c | 1,732$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…0119backed Cory Sandhagen | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Cory Sandhagen | 61c | 1,700$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.53 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Mario Bautista | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Cory Sandhagen | 59c | 1,661$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Cory Sandhagen | 23c | 1,638$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.39 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Mario Bautista | 59c | 1,622$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.26 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Cory Sandhagen | 58c | 1,466$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Cory Sandhagen win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Mario Bautista win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.