TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,308 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x641c…9a65backed Under58c24,588$14,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,264.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over42c18,548$7,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,859.311,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over42c15,000$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,349.9790348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under58c10,666$6,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48839749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over15c7,013$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over42c6,845$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.261,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.999341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under60c4,986$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.243923.1%9 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over21c3,575$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.282,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over30c3,461$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.2516038.8%62 W · 98 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under67c3,039$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.4119648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Under78c2,601$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.2194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed Over43c2,550$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.55431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under55c2,362$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.756541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Under58c2,313$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.5813057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over8c2,133$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3150848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over24c2,105$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.171,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82012839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over37c1,945$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.1918139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under75c1,836$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45917949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under60c1,612$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.0914852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Under76c1,496$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2828166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked Under57c1,443$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.139456.4%53 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over42c1,299$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.171,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over44c1,240$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.610521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9de2…c042backed Under58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.85966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over28c1,079$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over43c1,063$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.9952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Under58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4817838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c1…4a10backed Over43c1,020$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under58c1,009$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4244037.5%15 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Under57c1,000$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.841347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41050646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Over35c983.7$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.35143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca4…51cebacked Under61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Under60c927.27$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.271747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff6f…6311backed Under57c912.28$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.281656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over42c888.1$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37334250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc0…b4aebacked Over43c853$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under60c830.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.4163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed Under56c740$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.620454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9d…f08fbacked Under58c669.24$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over42c668.74$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.449245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Under57c631.58$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5825268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over43c631.36$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.659248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under77c616.49$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7976953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bd…61e4backed Under58c605.96$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.724057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Under56c569.77$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.749549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over42c566.88$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4444128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over44c553.58$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6abbbacked Under78c514.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.073174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Over28c500.78$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13811243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under79c500.41$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.748535.3%30 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Under76c466.67$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6917953.1%95 W · 84 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over41c443.7$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0317544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under76c422$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.983,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over44c400$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1114732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Under58c399.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1685662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over37c381.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.231,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.889750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Under62c336.41$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4113971.2%99 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12663247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked Under79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.223540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over13c284.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.98933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Under72c277.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.248852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under73c275.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.053100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Under57c262.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5364435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under58c258.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4748042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over42c236.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4543442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6574…6c18backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Over44c220$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.761143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under78c219.57$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6553047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over39c209.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9634945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over12c206.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Under74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5242835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8626940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886267.7%42 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under57c195.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2436752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked Under59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7018159.1%107 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under59c168.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3219052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…887fbacked Under64c161.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.747149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Over26c160$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.215857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c03…d9eebacked Over45c148$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+354.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Under76c146.79$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2329758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Under56c142.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.823625%9 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+47.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Over37c134.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Over28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3556744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2c…3dc9backed Under75c118.41$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.091656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Over43c116.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c1e…9ba0backed Under75c115$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.653378.8%26 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed Under76c113.87$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.336662.1%41 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.