Lol · resolved market
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x199d53227c98004b63b915030b0f877789741d83024d6b47fbc237b27e1e776d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,065,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00bf…3a0ebacked LOUD | 0c | 256,177$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed LOUD | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…2afbbacked LOUD | 16c | 17,392$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed LOUD | 0c | 17,206$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LOUD | 16c | 15,111$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.75 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed LOUD | 12c | 13,507$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.84 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LOUD | 15c | 13,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed LOUD | 18c | 12,200$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.71 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed LOUD | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 583 | 3.6%21 W · 562 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LOUD | 15c | 9,808$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.76 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed LOUD | 1c | 8,888$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…0670backed LOUD | 2c | 8,638$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD | 12c | 8,462$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.42 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked LOUD | 3c | 8,084$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.07 | 292 | 36%105 W · 187 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed LOUD | 12c | 7,682$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.84 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD | 13c | 7,508$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.05 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LOUD | 13c | 7,339$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.07 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked LOUD | 12c | 6,992$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.78 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…8caebacked LOUD | 14c | 6,776$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.33 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed LOUD | 17c | 6,602$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.35 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LOUD | 5c | 5,838$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked LOUD | 2c | 5,274$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed LOUD | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed LOUD | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed LOUD | 14c | 4,702$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed LOUD | 17c | 4,552$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.91 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed LOUD | 18c | 4,401$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed LOUD | 14c | 4,200$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked LOUD | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed LOUD | 16c | 3,646$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.32 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed LOUD | 17c | 3,294$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed LOUD | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked LOUD | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…d5ccbacked LOUD | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed LOUD | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LOUD | 13c | 2,916$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.87 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed LOUD | 3c | 2,623$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…b5a0backed LOUD | 4c | 2,430$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 9c | 2,413$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LOUD | 2c | 2,399$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed LOUD | 15c | 2,186$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.82 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked LOUD | 10c | 2,126$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.72 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 11c | 2,114$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed LOUD | 13c | 2,046$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed LOUD | 16c | 2,030$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked LOUD | 17c | 1,981$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed LOUD | 13c | 1,735$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked LOUD | 12c | 1,732$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.17 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked LOUD | 2c | 1,711$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LOUD | 14c | 1,670$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed LOUD | 1c | 1,550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed LOUD | 14c | 1,543$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 15c | 1,524$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD | 17c | 1,500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed LOUD | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…5602backed LOUD | 4c | 1,457$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed LOUD | 3c | 1,433$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed LOUD | 14c | 1,430$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…3327backed LOUD | 12c | 1,366$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed LOUD | 10c | 1,358$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed LOUD | 17c | 1,345$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.64 | 1,397 | 43.7%611 W · 786 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed LOUD | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 527 | 47.6%251 W · 276 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2ed6backed LOUD | 3c | 1,300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 28%56 W · 144 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed LOUD | 13c | 1,300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked LOUD | 6c | 1,245$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked LOUD | 1c | 1,209$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d0f9backed LOUD | 6c | 1,200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked LOUD | 13c | 1,182$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked LOUD | 8c | 1,137$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed LOUD | 15c | 1,126$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed LOUD | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed LOUD | 17c | 1,066$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LOUD | 2c | 1,032$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed LOUD | 15c | 1,020$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed LOUD | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LOUD | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…af2abacked LOUD | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed LOUD | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked LOUD | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed LOUD | 13c | 950$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked LOUD | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked LOUD | 8c | 899.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked LOUD | 13c | 828.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked LOUD | 3c | 809.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked LOUD | 13c | 784.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed LOUD | 3c | 769.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 13c | 730.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked LOUD | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…a340backed LOUD | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…7397backed LOUD | 2c | 625.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed LOUD | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed LOUD | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked LOUD | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeed…75a0backed LOUD | 9c | 533.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked LOUD | 9c | 510.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed LOUD | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed LOUD | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?LOUD won
- First Blood in Game 2?LOUD won
- First Blood in Game 3?JD Gaming won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)JD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 14.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.