TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,065,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,947 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00bf…3a0ebacked LOUD0c256,177$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed LOUD7c20,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40021137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…2afbbacked LOUD16c17,392$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.722842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed LOUD0c17,206$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.457869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LOUD16c15,111$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.751,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed LOUD12c13,507$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.8422624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed LOUD15c13,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed LOUD18c12,200$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.7127735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed LOUD0c10,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LOUD15c9,808$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.761,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed LOUD1c8,888$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.212844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed LOUD2c8,638$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3411631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD12c8,462$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.4290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked LOUD3c8,084$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0729236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed LOUD12c7,682$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.8423020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LOUD13c7,508$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.051,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LOUD13c7,339$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.071,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked LOUD12c6,992$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.786297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked LOUD14c6,776$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.3320354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed LOUD17c6,602$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.3515829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LOUD5c5,838$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.52,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked LOUD2c5,274$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7131328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed LOUD16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed LOUD2c5,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10514324.5%35 W · 108 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed LOUD14c4,702$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64716935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed LOUD17c4,552$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.9113130.5%40 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c30…54a2backed LOUD18c4,401$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7802254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LOUD14c4,200$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60897427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked LOUD16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed LOUD16c3,646$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3225560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed LOUD17c3,294$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56019042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed LOUD1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked LOUD15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked LOUD16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed LOUD17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LOUD13c2,916$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.872,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed LOUD3c2,623$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4324323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ce…b5a0backed LOUD4c2,430$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.78624.4%21 W · 65 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD9c2,413$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.41,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD2c2,399$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.992,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed LOUD15c2,186$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8244128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked LOUD10c2,126$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7211035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD11c2,114$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.362,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed LOUD13c2,046$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.981,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed LOUD16c2,030$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.810521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked LOUD17c1,981$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed LOUD13c1,735$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.553231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOUD12c1,732$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.171,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked LOUD2c1,711$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0653640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LOUD14c1,670$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.51,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f80…e222backed LOUD1c1,550$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48433.3%28 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed LOUD14c1,543$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD15c1,524$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.62,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD17c1,500$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.51,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed LOUD1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7210…5602backed LOUD4c1,457$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed LOUD3c1,433$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.474047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed LOUD14c1,430$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.216623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502c…3327backed LOUD12c1,366$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed LOUD10c1,358$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.44238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed LOUD17c1,345$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.641,39743.7%611 W · 786 L-4.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be4…1f20backed LOUD15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052747.6%251 W · 276 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed LOUD3c1,300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020028%56 W · 144 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed LOUD13c1,300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked LOUD6c1,245$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked LOUD1c1,209$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118236.6%30 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…d0f9backed LOUD6c1,200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.636462.5%40 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked LOUD13c1,182$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked LOUD8c1,137$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.619442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed LOUD15c1,126$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1632941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed LOUD18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed LOUD17c1,066$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18320249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LOUD2c1,032$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed LOUD15c1,020$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9911833.9%40 W · 78 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed LOUD14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14049549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed LOUD19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7689…af2abacked LOUD13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017535.4%62 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed LOUD15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked LOUD16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed LOUD13c950$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.556432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked LOUD11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked LOUD8c899.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7245937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked LOUD13c828.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011838.1%45 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked LOUD3c809.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.276048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked LOUD13c784.12$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.945143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed LOUD3c769.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD13c730.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9528042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked LOUD14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9856341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed LOUD15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed6…7397backed LOUD2c625.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed LOUD13c615.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed LOUD16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9685746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked LOUD14c600$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.961,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed LOUD18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeed…75a0backed LOUD9c533.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked LOUD9c510.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.44332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed LOUD2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.555750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed LOUD11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5548157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.