TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$841,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,127 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6842…20d0backed LOUD8c40,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2001,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…2afbbacked LOUD13c22,003$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.612842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked LOUD14c16,906$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.8925447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed LOUD13c16,021$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.1622624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked LOUD11c15,964$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.9520354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOUD6c14,868$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.062,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed LOUD1c12,225$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.277869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD9c12,000$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.691,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed LOUD12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.994037.5%15 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked LOUD13c9,463$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.0527447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed LOUD12c9,065$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.7923020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD10c8,000$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.631,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed LOUD7c7,222$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.114757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed LOUD12c6,581$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.1443442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed LOUD2c6,534$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0711631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked LOUD8c6,347$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.396297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked LOUD12c6,280$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+66%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked LOUD14c6,243$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.4532345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed LOUD1c5,600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed LOUD1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.552844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed LOUD9c5,272$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.948448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed LOUD6c5,233$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33676639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed LOUD12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOUD10c5,000$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7285442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked LOUD8c4,841$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked LOUD7c4,812$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8811035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LOUD7c4,500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed LOUD9c4,335$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1511645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked LOUD12c4,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked LOUD15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LOUD13c3,923$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.422,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked LOUD13c3,058$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.541030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked LOUD5c3,016$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7945937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked LOUD15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed LOUD16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LOUD3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9097427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed LOUD12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed LOUD12c2,297$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6415829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked LOUD4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed LOUD6c1,719$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked LOUD7c1,700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11950242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed LOUD8c1,662$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0318041.7%75 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed LOUD4c1,600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa2…e45cbacked LOUD8c1,517$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.243043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed LOUD17c1,486$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6944047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LOUD10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.042,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed LOUD9c1,250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.557945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed LOUD16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4448…0c03backed LOUD11c1,200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.182650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked LOUD9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD10c1,094$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.132,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed LOUD18c1,065$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19320249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked LOUD2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked LOUD3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed LOUD4c1,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed LOUD15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked LOUD14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040441.8%169 W · 235 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed LOUD13c979.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3356432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed LOUD11c970$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.747533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed LOUD15c940$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14111340.7%46 W · 67 L-12.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed LOUD8c937.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked LOUD15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14034250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LOUD16c926.44$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.231,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed LOUD5c900$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ce…b5a0backed LOUD2c896.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.938624.4%21 W · 65 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD6c810.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6495041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD12c801.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.161,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed LOUD17c751.29$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7218139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed LOUD13c744.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7224323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed LOUD14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc771…25eabacked LOUD8c625$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed LOUD15c624.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2532941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked LOUD9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed LOUD19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD4c600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.233,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed LOUD7c529$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0321735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked LOUD14c520$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.844743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a12…ba9cbacked LOUD2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed LOUD13c491.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8918742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD8c474.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.552,33640.4%943 W · 1,393 L-58.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaef…4775backed LOUD13c450$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589148.4%44 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD4c440$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked LOUD8c423.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4c…935ebacked LOUD6c417.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0813433.6%45 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked LOUD6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254731.9%15 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed LOUD12c410.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.262934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked LOUD6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed LOUD19c352.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8414935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked LOUD8c350$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718040.6%73 W · 107 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked LOUD7c328.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed LOUD5c319.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168535.3%30 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked LOUD7c314.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214132.6%46 W · 95 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd2…16c9backed LOUD15c300.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed LOUD11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320028%56 W · 144 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed LOUD12c285.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2419351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed LOUD9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,53654.8%842 W · 694 L+75.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed LOUD15c260.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7544128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked LOUD8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LOUD4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.