Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff8c946be19f802d91890cabfcd76d9baed034bbc69e604a8ba02bd3f12134e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,662 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed LOUD | 15c | 41,360$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LOUD | 15c | 28,507$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.97 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD | 13c | 18,237$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.85 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LOUD | 14c | 9,164$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.77 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LOUD | 2c | 5,967$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LOUD | 1c | 4,775$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked LOUD | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed LOUD | 14c | 2,450$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed LOUD | 4c | 2,449$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked LOUD | 1c | 2,251$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed LOUD | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed LOUD | 7c | 1,749$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked LOUD | 1c | 1,532$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed LOUD | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked LOUD | 15c | 1,052$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed LOUD | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD | 14c | 777$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked LOUD | 15c | 719.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked LOUD | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed LOUD | 14c | 679.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked LOUD | 12c | 615.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 17c | 600.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed LOUD | 16c | 517.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed LOUD | 14c | 408.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked LOUD | 9c | 252.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked LOUD | 14c | 177.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed LOUD | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…f82dbacked LOUD | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…e667backed LOUD | 14c | 102$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…fdb5backed LOUD | 15c | 102$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…c081backed LOUD | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbf…ea5fbacked LOUD | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…fb49backed LOUD | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed LOUD | 16c | 76.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked LOUD | 17c | 64.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…09afbacked LOUD | 16c | 64.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming | 79c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LOUD won
- First Blood in Game 2?LOUD won
- First Blood in Game 3?JD Gaming won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)JD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 14.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.