UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x083d2c17b8981e20bfebb4a76a0da6241284dd949a70a8a06510978b46795af7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gillian Robertsonof Gillian Robertson, Amanda Lemos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,496 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Gillian Robertson | 68c | 197,627$134,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,667.04 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 156,048$49,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,386.38 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Amanda Lemos | 35c | 79,598$27,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,602.59 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Gillian Robertson | 69c | 52,272$36,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,216.82 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Gillian Robertson | 68c | 47,127$32,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,892 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Amanda Lemos | 31c | 41,465$12,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,911.88 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Amanda Lemos | 31c | 40,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Amanda Lemos | 30c | 36,832$10,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,907.09 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Gillian Robertson | 69c | 32,218$22,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,001.74 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Amanda Lemos | 31c | 31,102$9,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.54 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Amanda Lemos | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Amanda Lemos | 30c | 27,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.99 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Gillian Robertson | 68c | 20,156$13,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,391.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Gillian Robertson | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Gillian Robertson | 70c | 19,751$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,001.36 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Amanda Lemos | 36c | 18,194$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Gillian Robertson | 66c | 17,657$11,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,932.21 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Gillian Robertson | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Gillian Robertson | 66c | 13,990$9,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…c5f8backed Amanda Lemos | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Amanda Lemos | 33c | 8,990$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gillian Robertson | 69c | 8,709$6,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.96 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Gillian Robertson | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Gillian Robertson | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Amanda Lemos | 30c | 7,610$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.92 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Amanda Lemos | 34c | 6,691$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Gillian Robertson | 68c | 6,618$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.65 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Gillian Robertson | 36c | 6,401$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.42 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Gillian Robertson | 69c | 6,005$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.31 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Gillian Robertson | 68c | 5,790$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.78 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Amanda Lemos | 32c | 5,750$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Gillian Robertson | 53c | 4,749$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.01 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Amanda Lemos | 47c | 4,716$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.89 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Amanda Lemos | 1c | 4,702$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Gillian Robertson | 69c | 4,047$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.61 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Gillian Robertson | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Amanda Lemos | 31c | 3,677$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.6 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Amanda Lemos | 13c | 3,373$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 3,292$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.94 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Amanda Lemos | 33c | 2,782$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.42 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gillian Robertson | 72c | 2,619$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.42 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…f0f6backed Amanda Lemos | 33c | 2,529$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Gillian Robertson | 48c | 2,503$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.54 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Gillian Robertson | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Amanda Lemos | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Amanda Lemos | 33c | 2,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…709ebacked Gillian Robertson | 70c | 2,032$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Gillian Robertson | 42c | 2,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Amanda Lemos | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.95 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Amanda Lemos | 48c | 1,988$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.11 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Gillian Robertson | 47c | 1,945$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.5 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Gillian Robertson | 65c | 1,718$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.39 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Gillian Robertson | 52c | 1,630$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.89 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Amanda Lemos | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Amanda Lemos | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Amanda Lemos | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Amanda Lemos | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Gillian Robertson | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Gillian Robertson | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Amanda Lemos | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.97 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Amanda Lemos | 60c | 1,393$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gillian Robertson | 53c | 1,347$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.48 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gillian Robertson | 52c | 1,257$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.23 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Gillian Robertson | 49c | 1,242$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Amanda Lemos | 49c | 1,238$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.87 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Amanda Lemos | 59c | 1,168$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.43 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Gillian Robertson | 54c | 1,152$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gillian Robertson | 69c | 1,152$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Gillian Robertson | 44c | 1,101$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.39 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Amanda Lemos | 31c | 1,097$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Amanda Lemos | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Gillian Robertson | 70c | 1,082$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gillian Robertson | 64c | 1,056$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.22 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Amanda Lemos | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gillian Robertson | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Gillian Robertson | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Gillian Robertson | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Amanda Lemos | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Gillian Robertson | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Amanda Lemos | 49c | 999.72$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.47 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gillian Robertson | 50c | 993.94$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.18 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Amanda Lemos | 60c | 975$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gillian Robertson | 53c | 964$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.97 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Gillian Robertson | 53c | 962$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Amanda Lemos | 32c | 927.29$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Amanda Lemos | 41c | 900$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Amanda Lemos | 35c | 899.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Amanda Lemos | 44c | 891.59$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Gillian Robertson | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Gillian Robertson | 56c | 806.12$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Amanda Lemos | 45c | 804.57$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gillian Robertson | 71c | 789.28$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.89 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gillian Robertson | 51c | 760$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.81 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Amanda Lemos | 34c | 742.45$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Gillian Robertson | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Amanda Lemos win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Gillian Robertson win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.