UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee17dc786bb8b91c3a356b0d577411671783c36ca45af2065041551f624bc1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uros Medicof Geoff Neal, Uros Medic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $784,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 120,000$78,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,699.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 108,667$70,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,346.96 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Uros Medic | 35c | 105,000$36,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,249.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Uros Medic | 34c | 95,962$32,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,114.99 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Geoff Neal | 65c | 91,904$59,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,390.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Geoff Neal | 65c | 83,976$54,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,584.42 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Uros Medic | 36c | 54,481$19,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,012.56 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Uros Medic | 35c | 45,127$15,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,512.51 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Uros Medic | 35c | 42,983$15,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,940.24 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Geoff Neal | 64c | 38,039$24,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,529.66 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Uros Medic | 35c | 32,649$11,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,221.57 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Uros Medic | 35c | 28,486$9,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,505.1 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Uros Medic | 36c | 19,810$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,678.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Uros Medic | 36c | 16,111$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,311.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Uros Medic | 36c | 15,600$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Uros Medic | 36c | 11,905$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,671.24 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Uros Medic | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Uros Medic | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 7,560$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.79 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Uros Medic | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 6,767$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.55 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 6,500$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…f85fbacked Geoff Neal | 64c | 6,128$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…9fffbacked Geoff Neal | 65c | 5,762$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 5,670$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Geoff Neal | 63c | 5,148$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.08 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Uros Medic | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.92 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Uros Medic | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.87 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Geoff Neal | 63c | 4,420$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.68 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Uros Medic | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.71 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 3,692$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Uros Medic | 34c | 3,434$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Uros Medic | 35c | 3,405$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 3,385$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 3,089$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.06 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Uros Medic | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Uros Medic | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Uros Medic | 35c | 2,871$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.43 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Uros Medic | 35c | 2,710$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.79 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 2,702$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Uros Medic | 35c | 2,669$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Uros Medic | 34c | 2,545$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.46 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Geoff Neal | 13c | 2,460$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Uros Medic | 34c | 2,344$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.15 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Uros Medic | 33c | 2,338$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.48 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Geoff Neal | 65c | 2,286$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Geoff Neal | 60c | 2,260$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.58 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 2,163$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Uros Medic | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Uros Medic | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Uros Medic | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Uros Medic | 34c | 1,786$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.45 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 1,769$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a266backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 1,498$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Uros Medic | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 1,263$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Geoff Neal | 64c | 1,179$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.25 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…d92fbacked Uros Medic | 35c | 1,170$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 1,140$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 1,090$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Uros Medic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Geoff Neal | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 926.68$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Uros Medic | 35c | 903.87$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 900$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 900$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Uros Medic | 35c | 899.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Uros Medic | 35c | 860$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Geoff Neal | 5c | 800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Uros Medic | 36c | 794.61$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.55 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 784.62$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Geoff Neal | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Uros Medic | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Geoff Neal | 9c | 692.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Uros Medic | 54c | 648$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Uros Medic | 35c | 640.27$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.81 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed Uros Medic | 35c | 602.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…6b63backed Uros Medic | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Uros Medic | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Uros Medic | 35c | 585.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.63 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Uros Medic | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Geoff Neal | 63c | 571.33$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 571.21$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 560$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Uros Medic | 35c | 534$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Uros Medic | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Geoff Neal | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Geoff Neal | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Uros Medic | 35c | 495.37$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Geoff Neal | 65c | 481.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Uros Medic | 33c | 471.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Geoff Neal | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Geoff Neal | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Geoff Neal | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Geoff Neal win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Uros Medic win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.