TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$628,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,224 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1d4…38d6backed RED Canids1c41,109$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.322072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Cloud980c23,404$18,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,774.4340370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Cloud965c14,650$9,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,108.431,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed RED Canids16c13,814$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.6111129.7%33 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72b…c108backed RED Canids17c12,710$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Cloud966c12,331$8,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.6125446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked RED Canids11c10,704$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.7355955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked RED Canids15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Cloud967c10,000$6,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.0331849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed RED Canids19c9,396$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.6239749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Cloud977c9,356$7,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.8643442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked RED Canids34c9,270$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,197.843458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed RED Canids38c9,257$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,513.021,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cloud971c8,279$5,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.52,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Canids37c8,207$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed RED Canids5c8,093$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.421028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed RED Canids43c7,419$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.171,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked RED Canids36c7,316$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.4766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked RED Canids24c7,269$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.471,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed RED Canids11c6,903$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.471,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked RED Canids11c6,546$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5529944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids39c5,946$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.631,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed RED Canids11c5,480$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5999345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed RED Canids28c5,311$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed RED Canids1c5,033$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5545618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…876ebacked RED Canids16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked RED Canids15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502512%3 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed RED Canids15c4,944$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.1722234.7%77 W · 145 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Cloud974c4,873$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.2431153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids9c4,379$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.111,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed RED Canids37c4,000$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.461,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed RED Canids30c3,737$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.042,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed RED Canids12c3,323$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7426144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked RED Canids36c3,096$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.235042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed RED Canids13c3,031$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8327636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids8c3,026$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.341,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked RED Canids33c3,010$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9958047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked RED Canids2c3,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6777131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Cloud977c2,991$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.351752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked RED Canids2c2,980$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.571766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked RED Canids16c2,975$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9620151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Cloud961c2,975$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.31,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Cloud979c2,769$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed RED Canids29c2,664$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.5225560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed RED Canids15c2,625$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7144042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed RED Canids8c2,546$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Cloud961c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.2610044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Cloud978c2,400$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5348458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Cloud965c2,321$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.2721536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Cloud980c2,278$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.221,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RED Canids15c2,266$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.91,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed RED Canids7c2,189$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1421819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed RED Canids4c2,187$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5689810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked RED Canids18c2,139$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5445344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed RED Canids27c2,138$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Cloud967c2,099$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.8747057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed RED Canids20c2,097$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9643947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Cloud957c2,022$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.341,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed RED Canids5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed RED Canids29c2,000$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58971249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed RED Canids16c1,970$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7317325.4%44 W · 129 L-19.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Cloud967c1,907$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.3960053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed RED Canids18c1,882$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8810844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked RED Canids5c1,825$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0617839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud961c1,805$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.512,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…f594backed RED Canids16c1,767$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7f…37abbacked RED Canids2c1,739$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Cloud959c1,709$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.2427447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Cloud978c1,682$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.953640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed RED Canids17c1,650$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4566445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Cloud970c1,630$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RED Canids16c1,578$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.952,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked RED Canids19c1,535$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.263560%21 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed RED Canids11c1,530$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.386251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed RED Canids15c1,525$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.95728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed RED Canids20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed RED Canids35c1,420$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.214062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked RED Canids16c1,375$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+87.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked RED Canids13c1,367$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked RED Canids15c1,365$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1626940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud963c1,352$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.883,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked RED Canids8c1,304$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.436535.4%23 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed RED Canids18c1,300$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.991,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…e39cbacked RED Canids6c1,294$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked RED Canids12c1,200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.472234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed RED Canids6c1,167$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed RED Canids16c1,142$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7212428.2%35 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a5…b9cebacked RED Canids12c1,120$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked RED Canids19c1,071$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017339.3%68 W · 105 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f7…6876backed RED Canids9c1,067$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x791f…060ebacked RED Canids10c1,036$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026224.8%65 W · 197 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed RED Canids16c1,029$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5718829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed RED Canids35c1,000$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35124240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b1b…afcfbacked RED Canids11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Cloud962c999.98$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.992060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked RED Canids11c947.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2057…14eabacked RED Canids14c938.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.331758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed RED Canids19c927.5$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.92330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked RED Canids17c916$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3237345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed RED Canids27c910.84$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.938929.2%26 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.