TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof Cloud9, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,644 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked RED Canids30c21,133$6,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,894.9255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed RED Canids34c16,746$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,054.511,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed RED Canids41c16,395$6,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,618.563923.1%9 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked RED Canids27c12,374$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,032.2631328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Cloud966c10,518$6,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,941.9425446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked Cloud91c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud966c8,729$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,761.423,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud971c7,219$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,092.181,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Cloud962c6,331$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.296328.6%18 W · 45 L-11.1wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed RED Canids34c6,017$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.831,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids35c5,648$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.041,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked RED Canids35c5,638$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.1866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Canids34c5,512$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed RED Canids32c5,470$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.9914936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Cloud971c5,185$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.0250569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Cloud969c5,030$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.892744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed Cloud958c5,005$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.320454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Cloud966c4,614$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.21,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Cloud967c4,000$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.9714248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed RED Canids34c3,608$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.673850%19 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Cloud970c3,450$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41521154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Cloud91c3,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Cloud968c3,117$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Cloud971c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1304151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed RED Canids28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9911129.7%33 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Cloud972c2,778$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud968c2,750$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8701,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud959c2,666$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.32,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud966c2,586$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.981,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Cloud968c2,384$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.9431849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Cloud964c2,352$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.32,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Cloud971c2,111$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Cloud942c2,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.9940370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Cloud928c1,773$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7160053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked RED Canids35c1,742$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.931,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud969c1,574$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.711,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Cloud943c1,394$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Cloud959c1,374$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.671428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cloud966c1,180$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.819844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed RED Canids40c1,149$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.563546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids33c1,104$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.561,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked RED Canids31c1,102$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.625042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked RED Canids30c1,100$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7702,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked RED Canids32c1,100$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7481,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed RED Canids55c1,088$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.331,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked RED Canids33c1,042$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.817241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Cloud966c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66048448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c47…1189backed Cloud959c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…64f5backed Cloud91c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Cloud965c988.14$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.3383560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cbe…b02fbacked Cloud940c937.84$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.292661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed RED Canids52c905$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.718149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked Cloud969c898.1$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.874358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked RED Canids39c893.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked RED Canids31c858.85$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.821,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Cloud964c777.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Cloud952c773.56$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.171,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed RED Canids24c752$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.521,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Cloud959c678.64$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004327.9%12 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed RED Canids57c665.11$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids31c644.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.181,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed RED Canids48c627.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.443959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed RED Canids34c620.59$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5939447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Cloud966c599.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39642148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed RED Canids30c553.33$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3328042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Cloud970c537.21$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.052330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cloud955c511.51$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.911,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Cloud95c511$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Cloud95c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257038.6%27 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Cloud970c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed Cloud960c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cloud967c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed RED Canids14c500$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Cloud92c499.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed RED Canids54c445.63$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.636058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Cloud970c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009051.1%46 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Cloud966c425.12$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5813136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Cloud947c420$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.866445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed Cloud96c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258726.4%23 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed RED Canids35c411.09$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.721,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Cloud966c409.09$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27047057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eca…8602backed Cloud941c393.47$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.921566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Cloud916c390$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.97919%15 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed RED Canids26c385.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7119946.7%93 W · 106 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d0f9backed RED Canids67c381.28$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.716462.5%40 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Cloud967c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Cloud97c355$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3521810.1%22 W · 196 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed RED Canids52c350.83$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.486251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed RED Canids40c347.59$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9711631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Cloud96c325.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Cloud966c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012450%62 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked RED Canids34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19895847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked RED Canids58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5316349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked RED Canids38c288.83$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8643138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Cloud970c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Cloud941c280.78$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1218633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Cloud976c266.79$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20321819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Cloud970c262.86$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18419251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf4d…58c2backed RED Canids20c258.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked RED Canids32c252.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4530632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.