Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs RED Canids (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x561bf71d63c16994bae68d4c44a643eac190ffa07615997a8a05da3b10a53c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof Cloud9, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed RED Canids | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked RED Canids | 38c | 988.16$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.58 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked Cloud9 | 12c | 977.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Cloud9 | 44c | 941.71$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked RED Canids | 50c | 597.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…e932backed Cloud9 | 58c | 517.86$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Cloud9 | 15c | 477.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Cloud9 | 43c | 338.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked RED Canids | 26c | 319.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed RED Canids | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Cloud9 | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked RED Canids | 63c | 291.25$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed RED Canids | 50c | 282.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Cloud9 | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…70f0backed Cloud9 | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked RED Canids | 56c | 184.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Cloud9 | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Cloud9 | 43c | 131.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked RED Canids | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…e30fbacked Cloud9 | 44c | 90.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Cloud9 | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked Cloud9 | 76c | 80.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…6f3cbacked Cloud9 | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed RED Canids | 24c | 74.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked RED Canids | 32c | 49.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…09afbacked RED Canids | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…7ea5backed Cloud9 | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked RED Canids | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs RED Canids (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)RED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 3 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 4 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.