UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x462edb8bb2014b15642f581b3b43fab2e9f37af8db367c0c399c43ff80352df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Casey O'Neillof Casey O'Neill, Gabriella Fernandes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Casey O'Neill | 54c | 68,503$36,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,842.25 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Casey O'Neill | 51c | 37,890$19,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,734.38 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 33,409$15,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,278.78 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 28,902$13,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,006.02 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 24,039$13,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,817.68 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 20,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.85 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 47c | 17,880$8,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,344.82 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Gabriella Fernandes | 48c | 17,000$8,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,080 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Casey O'Neill | 55c | 15,753$8,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.08 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Casey O'Neill | 54c | 15,177$8,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.22 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Gabriella Fernandes | 49c | 12,951$6,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327.64 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Gabriella Fernandes | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…a757backed Gabriella Fernandes | 51c | 11,000$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Gabriella Fernandes | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.9 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Casey O'Neill | 53c | 9,789$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.7 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Casey O'Neill | 52c | 8,710$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.41 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Casey O'Neill | 49c | 8,530$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.06 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Casey O'Neill | 67c | 7,629$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.94 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 6,797$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.7 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 6,471$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…2d9fbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 6,070$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Casey O'Neill | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.98 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gabriella Fernandes | 48c | 5,229$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.41 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Casey O'Neill | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Gabriella Fernandes | 47c | 4,895$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.56 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…2c2bbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Gabriella Fernandes | 48c | 4,172$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 4,019$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.33 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Gabriella Fernandes | 48c | 3,968$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.04 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 3,040$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.4 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 2,600$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.12 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 2,224$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Gabriella Fernandes | 50c | 2,223$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.5 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Casey O'Neill | 54c | 2,205$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Gabriella Fernandes | 1c | 2,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Gabriella Fernandes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Casey O'Neill | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Casey O'Neill | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.09 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 47c | 1,875$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.39 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Casey O'Neill | 53c | 1,800$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gabriella Fernandes | 49c | 1,750$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Casey O'Neill | 52c | 1,566$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.03 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.18 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Gabriella Fernandes | 2c | 1,523$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Casey O'Neill | 49c | 1,431$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.59 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 1,411$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.14 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4bedbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 1,372$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Gabriella Fernandes | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Casey O'Neill | 50c | 1,208$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.39 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Gabriella Fernandes | 49c | 1,158$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.84 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Casey O'Neill | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.03 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 1,063$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Casey O'Neill | 54c | 1,009$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Gabriella Fernandes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Casey O'Neill | 51c | 997.91$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Gabriella Fernandes | 42c | 962.12$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.96 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 949.99$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Casey O'Neill | 62c | 866.36$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.22 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Gabriella Fernandes | 47c | 840.11$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.46 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Gabriella Fernandes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gabriella Fernandes | 33c | 780$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gabriella Fernandes | 45c | 776.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.64 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 767.35$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Gabriella Fernandes | 33c | 752$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 713.69$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 689.73$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Casey O'Neill | 61c | 676.66$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.93 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Casey O'Neill | 51c | 650.41$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.69 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Gabriella Fernandes | 49c | 617.38$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Gabriella Fernandes | 36c | 616$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Gabriella Fernandes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Casey O'Neill | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…62ffbacked Casey O'Neill | 55c | 536.36$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Gabriella Fernandes | 50c | 501$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Casey O'Neill | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Gabriella Fernandes | 34c | 454$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 44c | 446.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 434.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 424.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked Casey O'Neill | 55c | 423.62$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Casey O'Neill | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…b2a1backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 384.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Casey O'Neill | 51c | 329.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Casey O'Neill | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Casey O'Neill | 61c | 326.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Gabriella Fernandes | 49c | 325.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gabriella Fernandes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Gabriella Fernandes | 33c | 293.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Gabriella Fernandes | 47c | 288.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Casey O'Neill win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Gabriella Fernandes win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.