UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63c9acebc62fdbe8981ecbf90f946c6fbdbb1b632515e2498e6067256a5dc8a0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Costaof Ige, Costa
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $631,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $634,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,756 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked Costa	69c	156,862$108,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,627.22	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	61cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Costa	70c	143,000$100,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,899.94	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ige	30c	115,883$34,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,873.6	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Ige	31c	57,656$17,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,873.39	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Ige	30c	40,600$12,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,309.54	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ige	32c	40,000$12,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,899.92	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Ige	31c	30,000$9,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,300	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Ige	32c	30,000$9,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,550	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Ige	29c	29,901$8,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,666.23	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Costa	68c	26,350$17,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,432	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Ige	30c	25,850$7,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,654.81	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Ige	34c	23,564$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,100	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Costa	67c	23,344$15,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,790.36	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Costa	69c	19,399$13,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,013.79	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Costa	68c	17,928$12,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,744.99	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ige	32c	15,666$5,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,009.78	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Costa	65c	15,200$9,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,280	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Costa	69c	13,216$9,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,096.94	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6cb…3d7cbacked Ige	0c	13,020$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Costa	67c	10,000$6,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Ige	31c	10,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1975…f07bbacked Ige	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Costa	70c	9,714$6,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,914.29	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Ige	31c	9,223$2,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,859.13	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ige	31c	8,706$2,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,698.85	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Costa	66c	8,102$5,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,733.08	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Costa	66c	6,286$4,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,137.3	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Costa	74c	6,168$4,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.49	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Ige	34c	5,858$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,988.56	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Ige	30c	5,480$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,644	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Ige	33c	5,433$1,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,813.87	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ige	28c	5,144$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.49	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Ige	31c	5,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ige	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Costa	67c	4,737$3,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,563.12	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Costa	69c	4,348$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.83	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ige	31c	4,159$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.57	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Costa	67c	4,000$2,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Costa	67c	4,000$2,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Costa	68c	3,958$2,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266.58	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Ige	31c	3,144$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.87	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Ige	33c	3,091$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.05	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Ige	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Ige	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Costa	71c	2,338$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.02	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Costa	67c	2,133$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Ige	30c	2,100$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Ige	34c	2,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b56…66eabacked Ige	31c	2,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Ige	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Ige	27c	1,859$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.87	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Ige	30c	1,667$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Costa	69c	1,653$1,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.69	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Ige	31c	1,650$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.5	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ige	31c	1,562$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.22	356	48.6%173 W · 183 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ige	29c	1,542$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.11	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Ige	35c	1,511$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3523…a266backed Costa	66c	1,505$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.52	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Ige	34c	1,500$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Costa	67c	1,490$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.8	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+8.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ige	18c	1,388$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.94	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Costa	68c	1,300$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Costa	68c	1,286$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.32	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ige	31c	1,244$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.64	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Costa	67c	1,201$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.28	417	54%225 W · 192 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ea…1a3ebacked Ige	34c	1,174$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.66	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Ige	30c	1,167$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedea…8b39backed Costa	69c	1,159$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.42	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x342f…4b7dbacked Ige	30c	1,127$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Ige	34c	1,120$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.8	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Ige	34c	1,076$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.94	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2e7…fa5fbacked Costa	66c	1,040$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.12	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Costa	71c	1,016$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.54	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbc0…c9e8backed Ige	32c	1,005$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.6	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Ige	34c	1,004$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.99	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf71…084cbacked Ige	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Costa	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Costa	67c	1,000$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Ige	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Ige	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Costa	71c	1,000$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Ige	34c	893$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Costa	68c	882.35$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ige	31c	870.98$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ige	28c	806.51$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.02	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x718c…50eabacked Ige	31c	806.45$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Ige	31c	800$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Ige	31c	800$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Costa	68c	800$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf17a…8abebacked Costa	68c	706.35$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.03	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Costa	71c	700$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fa8…591bbacked Ige	30c	663.33$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ige	30c	634$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.2	267	36%96 W · 171 L	-16.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Ige	31c	611.78$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ige	30c	600$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Ige	33c	600$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Costa	66c	599$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.66	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+4.4wins	+0.14per pick	63cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Ige	33c	597.59$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Costa	65c	585.05$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.72	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Ige	29c	559.99$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.4	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Dan Ige win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Melquizael Costa win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event