TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fa8…591b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$294.33
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100.1%+$98.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+59.4%+$238
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.97
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+116%+$348.12
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+163.1%+$333
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$397.06
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$134.1
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs MIBR (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+102.8%+$414.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$171.88
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+55.2%+$110.39
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$244
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+117.4%+$300.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$351
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+123.7%+$247.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+134.8%+$192.88
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$293.99
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$345.48
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+211%+$277.03
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$402.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+68.4%+$207.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+60.3%+$120.55
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+133.3%+$133.3
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$125.92
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$183.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Tommy Paulbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$339.77
Metepec: Alexis Galarneau vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$344.21
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+223.8%+$500.58
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Sinnerbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+229.6%+$325.41
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$423.52
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+240.9%+$582.4
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$182.07
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
New Delhi: Beibit Zhukayev vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$491.7
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$231.43
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$158.1
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+157.7%+$414.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$456
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+98.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.9%+$353.22
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+160.7%+$321.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$199
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$197.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.