TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked 9z38c4,998$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.3720539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed MIBR62c2,901$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.311250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked MIBR61c2,520$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.964650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MIBR61c2,441$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed 9z38c2,300$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.9657647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked 9z38c1,633$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.7711452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed MIBR62c1,521$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.976536.9%24 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed 9z38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked MIBR80c1,019$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.311145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 9z38c999.12$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.671,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked 9z37c954.28$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed 9z21c889.78$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8519732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z10c843.06$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.991,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa8…591bbacked 9z25c816.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed MIBR62c708.29$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6915655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR62c565.52$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.91,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2627…13b4backed 9z58c519.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 9z18c441.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed 9z24c420.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked MIBR62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15226553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed MIBR52c379.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.45543.6%24 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed MIBR62c354.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8412545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed MIBR62c335.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6711252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed MIBR62c335.36$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4419549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked 9z40c330$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13254348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked MIBR75c306.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1818040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed MIBR62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11445244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MIBR70c282.92$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.243,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 9z28c282.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.161,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed 9z36c278.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0429128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 9z40c277$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.81,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed 9z38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…b09ebacked MIBR63c251.9$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.26443.8%28 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa100…60e1backed MIBR68c214.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.313737.2%51 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed 9z13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed 9z38c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z26c166.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.617,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed 9z38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5754032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked 9z40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked 9z28c149.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9933459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed MIBR61c149.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.365042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed MIBR62c133.59$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.124850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked MIBR62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0348242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked MIBR62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.93554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe667…898fbacked 9z22c100.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.251030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed MIBR77c100.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.912867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked 9z38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3870038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed MIBR42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9913144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked 9z29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked MIBR61c83.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed MIBR62c80.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.759254.3%50 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked MIBR61c64.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2533539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked MIBR78c62.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5411747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e7…1f75backed MIBR70c62.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.763151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked 9z41c58.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9459647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed 9z53c56.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.036621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5633…29e8backed 9z48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-74.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked 9z39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.281020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked 9z36c51.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5226535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6e…b24fbacked MIBR64c46.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.753161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…9ab3backed 9z25c44.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed MIBR69c43.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4138844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da7…f04bbacked 9z42c42.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked MIBR77c42.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.825232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed MIBR61c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3810248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf79…84d4backed MIBR79c40.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed 9z44c40.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8250043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed MIBR62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.328847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed MIBR67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.158058.8%47 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed MIBR58c39.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7919554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed 9z39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516532.1%53 W · 112 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked 9z38c36.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.036154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked MIBR75c35.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9760857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed MIBR62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2632845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7796…97e6backed MIBR62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed MIBR67c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6169732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbeba…3d1dbacked MIBR77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf582…9841backed MIBR58c25.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x660d…121bbacked MIBR62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56c…1cf9backed 9z40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460e…607cbacked MIBR64c24.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.053375.8%25 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x276c…05a9backed MIBR48c21.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c3…229cbacked MIBR67c20.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ebbfbacked MIBR69c20.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed MIBR60c17.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.915738.2%60 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked MIBR62c16.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1610138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed MIBR72c15.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.324050%20 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.