Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1398d112d4497d7433f65b26b1c421a1ec16beaefee1829db85494dfcb8f46a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Khachanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,073,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,205,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Khachanov | 26c | 90,128$23,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,075.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Khachanov | 27c | 60,119$16,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,178.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Khachanov | 8c | 57,390$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.18 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Khachanov | 15c | 53,393$8,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.71 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Khachanov | 19c | 46,396$8,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,646.49 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Khachanov | 8c | 32,460$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.54 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Khachanov | 6c | 25,421$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.46 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Khachanov | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Khachanov | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Khachanov | 31c | 21,058$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.15 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…9d95backed Alcaraz | 65c | 19,370$12,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,836.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Khachanov | 8c | 14,610$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.81 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Alcaraz | 71c | 14,155$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.7 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Khachanov | 6c | 13,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Khachanov | 8c | 12,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Khachanov | 9c | 11,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Khachanov | 8c | 11,538$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.04 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Khachanov | 8c | 11,287$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.96 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Khachanov | 7c | 10,665$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Khachanov | 29c | 10,068$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.1 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Alcaraz | 65c | 9,711$6,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.78 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Alcaraz | 64c | 8,539$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.54 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Khachanov | 40c | 7,566$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Khachanov | 31c | 7,397$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.04 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Khachanov | 8c | 6,535$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Khachanov | 7c | 6,389$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.21 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Khachanov | 29c | 6,011$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.28 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Khachanov | 38c | 6,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Khachanov | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Khachanov | 17c | 5,983$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…9f7dbacked Khachanov | 8c | 5,249$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Khachanov | 7c | 4,951$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Khachanov | 9c | 4,576$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.81 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Khachanov | 36c | 4,525$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…81b9backed Alcaraz | 79c | 4,500$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 4,458$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Alcaraz | 69c | 4,401$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.19 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alcaraz | 66c | 4,366$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.64 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Alcaraz | 80c | 4,351$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.19 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Khachanov | 40c | 3,774$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Khachanov | 8c | 3,571$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.66 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Alcaraz | 63c | 3,500$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Khachanov | 7c | 3,043$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Alcaraz | 62c | 3,024$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa545…a656backed Khachanov | 8c | 2,680$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Khachanov | 1c | 2,676$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Khachanov | 12c | 2,644$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Alcaraz | 75c | 2,547$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.26 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Khachanov | 4c | 2,520$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Alcaraz | 66c | 2,507$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.28 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Khachanov | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alcaraz | 68c | 2,320$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.1 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Khachanov | 9c | 2,281$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Alcaraz | 74c | 2,164$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.41 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Khachanov | 8c | 2,103$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Khachanov | 20c | 2,028$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.78 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Khachanov | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…175cbacked Khachanov | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Khachanov | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Khachanov | 8c | 1,989$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…ffe7backed Khachanov | 10c | 1,984$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Alcaraz | 64c | 1,981$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.25 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Khachanov | 17c | 1,924$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Khachanov | 7c | 1,741$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alcaraz | 74c | 1,592$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.74 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Alcaraz | 64c | 1,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.66 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Khachanov | 9c | 1,534$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Alcaraz | 62c | 1,357$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Khachanov | 36c | 1,309$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.04 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Khachanov | 37c | 1,199$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.76 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Alcaraz | 77c | 1,171$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Khachanov | 7c | 1,171$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Alcaraz | 77c | 1,164$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 1,120$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Alcaraz | 61c | 1,100$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Alcaraz | 64c | 1,078$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.13 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked Khachanov | 40c | 1,057$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…a31fbacked Khachanov | 7c | 1,019$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Alcaraz | 64c | 1,014$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.46 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Alcaraz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Alcaraz | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Khachanov | 25c | 929.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.87 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Alcaraz | 69c | 920$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Khachanov | 10c | 908$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Khachanov | 14c | 879.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Alcaraz | 64c | 820.38$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.89 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Alcaraz | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Alcaraz | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Khachanov | 24c | 788.17$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Khachanov | 12c | 733.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Alcaraz | 65c | 720$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Khachanov | 14c | 717.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Khachanov | 7c | 705.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Khachanov | 7c | 689.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Alcaraz | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Khachanov | 5c | 665.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Khachanov | 7c | 648.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Alcaraz | 80c | 624.36$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Khachanov | 7c | 600.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Khachanov | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs KhachanovKhachanov won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)Khachanov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.