Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5a876b5d087bd636464dac9c26f5c1e918e0824e1d2082639badeeb3da8eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 6,000$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.64 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 5,934$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,555$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.37 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,042$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.52 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,586$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,337$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.8 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,018$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.18 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,639$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,623$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.63 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,574$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.13 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,517$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.93 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 1,419$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,310$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,264$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,221$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,165$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.78 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 967.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 950.68$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.89 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 857.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 753.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 738.65$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 713.58$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.79 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 592.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.88 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 589$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 494.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 482.52$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 454.08$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 440.63$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 380.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 370.42$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 359.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 335.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 320.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 299.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 243.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 223$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 213.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 210.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 210.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 209.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 190.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 188.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 173.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 168.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 144.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 142.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…211bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 142.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 104.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…2331backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 86.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 85.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 268 | 59%158 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 74.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 73.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 65.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 594 | 56.7%337 W · 257 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 58.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 53.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 51.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…f987backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 44.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…e53bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 33.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 30.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…eca5backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 25.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 24.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 24.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…baa3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.