TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5524…2f3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT6844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$28.49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+137%+$26.01
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.03
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.01
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+178.7%+$53.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+150%+$36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$33.68
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$48.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+48%+$16.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$76.44
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.85
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+566.7%+$403.75
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.65
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$97.99
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$82.5
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$66.6
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.05
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.01
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+82.4%+$45.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$78.41
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.