Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827ee1a72da934487075be823889deed202499db626a2f5c3991a84b07dbbf4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 72c | 13,121$9,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.88 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 7,026$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.06 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 4,591$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 3,684$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.98 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 3,137$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.24 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,900$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 72c | 2,132$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 2,112$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.47 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 2,013$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.21 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 1,825$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.57 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 26c | 1,705$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 2c | 1,496$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,270$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.45 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…7007backed Yes | 36c | 1,173$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 34c | 1,129$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 1,085$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 1,062$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.78 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…4ffcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 73c | 985.34$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 26c | 941.89$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 29c | 935.29$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 797.22$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 29c | 620.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 564$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa3…1fb6backed Yes | 37c | 559.41$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…e9d4backed Yes | 33c | 554.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…20f7backed No | 73c | 520.55$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 70c | 517.32$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Yes | 29c | 510.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 30c | 505.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 32c | 476.61$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 29c | 462.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 29c | 438.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 430$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Yes | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 73c | 422$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 34c | 412.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 32c | 402$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 366.06$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 25c | 364.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 35c | 343.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 73c | 325.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…9842backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…05ebbacked No | 73c | 297.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 72c | 291.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 22c | 286.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…8c92backed Yes | 33c | 285.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…6001backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 30c | 267.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 258.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…f786backed No | 73c | 245.21$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 27c | 238.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Yes | 28c | 233.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…3bc2backed No | 73c | 213.7$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 68c | 204$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 28c | 200.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 80c | 188.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 34c | 178.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 35c | 163.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 36c | 153.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 147.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 35c | 143.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 73c | 142.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 28c | 138.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…7defbacked No | 72c | 136.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 33c | 135.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 19c | 112.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…fb99backed Yes | 45c | 111.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…a94fbacked Yes | 34c | 111.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes | 34c | 109.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…dcd9backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 61c | 104.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 34c | 103.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…8df9backed Yes | 34c | 102.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 30c | 100.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.