Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f319cfec1cde376012fbe6f8a5cc81a59afbd5d24847a9ed1723cea141798c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,360,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,343,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,360,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 57c | 192,616$109,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,465.54 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 138,344$61,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,528.7 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 96,774$60,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,588.98 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 86,291$39,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,269.46 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 58c | 76,818$44,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,933.45 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 74,149$43,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,054.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 25c | 40,451$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,987.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Yes | 40c | 38,700$15,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,479.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 54c | 34,152$18,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,597.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 44c | 32,689$14,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,383.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes | 43c | 28,762$12,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,367.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Yes | 41c | 23,464$9,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,620.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 23,158$14,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.66 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 45c | 22,055$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890.7 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 18,145$10,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.95 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…5b61backed No | 53c | 17,661$9,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 56c | 16,964$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.29 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 16,472$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,368.43 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 14,500$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.93 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 56c | 14,298$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,291.12 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 45c | 12,653$5,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,753.46 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 58c | 11,509$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.81 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 53c | 10,466$5,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.59 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.91 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 9,108$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.23 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 44c | 9,009$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked No | 57c | 8,535$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 42c | 8,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 7,927$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.61 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 47c | 7,705$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.35 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 40c | 7,673$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.36 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 61c | 7,601$4,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.3 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 7c | 7,536$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 42c | 7,286$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 43c | 7,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 6,613$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.18 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Yes | 31c | 6,354$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 59c | 6,257$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.36 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 43c | 5,938$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 5,731$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.72 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 41c | 5,722$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.99 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 44c | 5,684$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.32 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 42c | 5,320$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.35 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…1ddebacked Yes | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…844abacked Yes | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 58c | 4,700$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 45c | 4,467$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…ecc1backed No | 57c | 4,385$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 57c | 4,314$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…7007backed Yes | 45c | 4,045$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 43c | 3,999$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.77 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.99 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Yes | 35c | 3,437$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 37c | 3,265$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.63 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 43c | 3,243$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.88 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 32c | 3,120$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…525abacked Yes | 42c | 3,094$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 57c | 3,001$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.43 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c496backed Yes | 33c | 2,755$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,542$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.96 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 43c | 2,495$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.02 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 44c | 2,474$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 43c | 2,319$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked No | 55c | 2,191$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…efeebacked Yes | 46c | 2,169$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 41c | 2,145$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.05 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 56c | 2,143$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.56 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 37c | 2,017$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.59 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 1,958$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.78 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 1,957$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.52 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.