Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56e43949f2962e5ed9df0135ab9969e74762485411af39213eb4504e546070e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 56,763$33,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,413.76 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 48c | 16,165$7,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,349.1 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 39c | 11,947$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,246.62 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora | 77c | 10,932$8,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Team Liquid | 22c | 5,292$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.19 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Team Liquid | 8c | 5,000$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Aurora | 62c | 3,344$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.49 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid | 41c | 3,014$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.55 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Aurora | 59c | 2,837$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 51c | 2,683$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.95 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 40c | 2,505$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.11 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 2,396$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 39c | 2,057$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.96 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 74c | 2,012$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.71 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 2,010$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.96 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,932$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.19 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…abaebacked Aurora | 73c | 1,781$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Aurora | 65c | 1,542$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.31 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Aurora | 40c | 1,495$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.53 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,253$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.46 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,050$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,030$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.93 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Liquid | 2c | 986.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Aurora | 43c | 896.77$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 5c | 858.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 33c | 838.2$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Aurora | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Aurora | 53c | 760.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.28 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 55c | 684.44$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.44 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Aurora | 45c | 673.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.08 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 43c | 609.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.29 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 576.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 555.03$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 57c | 494.29$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.74 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 62c | 486.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 62c | 484.55$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora | 39c | 451.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.64 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 55c | 428.79$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Team Liquid | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Aurora | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 396.4$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora | 36c | 385$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Aurora | 46c | 380.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 35c | 357.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Aurora | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 40c | 300.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Aurora | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 284.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…78f7backed Team Liquid | 48c | 269.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Aurora | 44c | 268.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Aurora | 46c | 260.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 37c | 250$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Team Liquid | 59c | 243.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Aurora | 45c | 242.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora | 79c | 206.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Aurora | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 49c | 187.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Liquid | 42c | 183.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 58c | 173.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora | 62c | 150.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed Aurora | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 145.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe50…b05cbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 139.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Team Liquid | 61c | 138$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 60c | 133.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 60c | 129.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 129.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Team Liquid | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Aurora | 46c | 125$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Liquid | 39c | 116.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Aurora | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7fe2backed Team Liquid | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Aurora | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Team Liquid | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…68cfbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Aurora | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Aurora | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Liquid | 49c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked Aurora | 39c | 98.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Aurora | 51c | 98.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Aurora | 51c | 98.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Aurora | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid | 32c | 86.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aurora | 42c | 83.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 49c | 82.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Aurora | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.