Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab50fc2f1d2341ff0f5ff5a9c3f20d76b3a66aae9b61390bec76e77f054d241e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 48c | 27,317$13,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,254.73 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 48c | 25,179$12,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,984.05 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…9c53backed Team Liquid | 50c | 15,000$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 12,671$6,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,704.13 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 11,111$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.6 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 9,082$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,312.71 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 40c | 8,865$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.15 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 6,568$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 5,884$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.9 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Team Liquid | 48c | 5,822$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 51c | 5,096$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.6 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 4,664$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.09 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,101$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.23 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Liquid | 50c | 3,865$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.18 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 3,808$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.08 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,536$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 3,204$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Aurora | 41c | 3,127$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.99 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 50c | 3,017$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.58 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora | 67c | 2,499$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.78 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,356$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.56 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,312$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.85 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Aurora | 62c | 2,228$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Aurora | 48c | 2,070$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.72 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Aurora | 61c | 2,000$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,991$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.18 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Aurora | 44c | 1,831$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.33 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,761$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.89 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora | 44c | 1,755$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.79 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Aurora | 64c | 1,754$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.95 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Aurora | 48c | 1,674$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.58 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Aurora | 66c | 1,648$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.19 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Aurora | 63c | 1,603$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.03 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora | 44c | 1,461$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.36 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed Aurora | 57c | 1,353$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 52c | 1,320$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 57c | 1,186$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.79 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 78c | 1,176$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.19 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,033$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed Aurora | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Aurora | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 45c | 944.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.84 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 49c | 923.81$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.07 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…6cc3backed Team Liquid | 40c | 858.78$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid | 25c | 853.32$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Aurora | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 50c | 792.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 779.96$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.38 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 42c | 744.22$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 39c | 736.72$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.29 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Team Liquid | 40c | 700.01$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 70c | 630.76$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 36c | 617.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora | 42c | 617.39$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Aurora | 71c | 601.12$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 599.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…6315backed Aurora | 67c | 599.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Aurora | 68c | 587.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.62 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 55c | 578.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.11 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 61c | 571.8$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…e1dcbacked Aurora | 47c | 550$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Aurora | 61c | 519.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 75c | 507.76$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Aurora | 30c | 500$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1de…9ac7backed Team Liquid | 40c | 499.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 56c | 477.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Aurora | 56c | 454.69$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 447.95$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Aurora | 46c | 439.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora | 56c | 424.63$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Aurora | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 56c | 413.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Liquid | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Aurora | 42c | 377.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora | 51c | 373.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Aurora | 53c | 353.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Aurora | 45c | 351.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed Aurora | 55c | 316.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Liquid | 59c | 302.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7fe2backed Team Liquid | 45c | 301.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 300.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed Aurora | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Aurora | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…78f7backed Team Liquid | 57c | 298.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Aurora | 64c | 298.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Aurora | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.