Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d6035590b8959bbfe5ca8a185d5e593a6a318a1e0b4d7acdd6a80b697da15b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 34,959$22,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,034.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Team Liquid | 53c | 30,229$16,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,101.49 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 46c | 27,255$12,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,594.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 37c | 13,700$5,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,630.87 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 63c | 9,712$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.84 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Aurora | 51c | 8,218$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.64 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Aurora | 36c | 7,645$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora | 37c | 7,316$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.75 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 5,400$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Aurora | 38c | 5,197$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.44 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 4,690$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.78 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 63c | 4,360$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.34 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Aurora | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Aurora | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.97 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Liquid | 46c | 3,869$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Team Liquid | 61c | 3,770$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 3,421$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.05 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 38c | 3,421$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.05 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,366$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.49 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Team Liquid | 62c | 3,261$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 2,742$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,663$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 62c | 2,508$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.13 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 41c | 2,475$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.03 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 69c | 2,411$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.21 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 2,181$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 31c | 2,069$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.68 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 64c | 1,899$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Aurora | 63c | 1,885$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.69 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 42c | 1,770$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.68 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 38c | 1,750$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,579$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.67 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,551$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…bf78backed Team Liquid | 1c | 1,542$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Aurora | 38c | 1,529$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.69 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Aurora | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora | 49c | 1,485$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.35 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,473$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.99 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Aurora | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,268$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.59 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Aurora | 37c | 1,251$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.07 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 1,159$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Aurora | 65c | 1,127$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.59 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,089$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.5 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,086$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,049$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.68 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Aurora | 63c | 1,020$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.79 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Aurora | 39c | 1,000$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.41 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Aurora | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 61c | 999.96$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.97 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Aurora | 53c | 996.21$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.21 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 991$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 960$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Aurora | 77c | 914.29$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 886.8$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid | 13c | 845.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 808.05$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Aurora | 46c | 804.73$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Aurora | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 62c | 788.5$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.87 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 58c | 752.52$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.08 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed Aurora | 55c | 678.84$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Aurora | 38c | 656$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 37c | 650.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 623.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 39c | 605.38$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.28 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Team Liquid | 37c | 602.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Liquid | 62c | 599.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 21c | 581$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…4b4abacked Team Liquid | 63c | 560$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 557.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Aurora | 48c | 542.32$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 37c | 534.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 529.98$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…3500backed Team Liquid | 62c | 521.57$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora | 37c | 501.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.65 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Aurora | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 63c | 499.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed Team Liquid | 62c | 499.67$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 490.16$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.07 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Aurora | 38c | 489.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Liquid | 5c | 480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…91a1backed Team Liquid | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 455$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed Team Liquid | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Team Liquid | 45c | 395.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Aurora | 37c | 382.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 373.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.