NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Hornets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3a974f0e3fdaa21a7d5641054f6f9babbc348a25b7bb93f48abe9d4904c1d0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Mavericks, Hornets
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,633,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,553,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,633,813 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks	15c	177,978$26,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,696.69	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks	15c	99,999$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,999.89	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks	14c	80,695$11,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,297.27	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks	15c	49,892$7,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,408.12	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks	15c	48,998$7,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,259.74	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks	0c	39,494$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.48	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Mavericks	16c	30,949$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Mavericks	16c	22,999$3,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,579.92	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks	11c	22,573$2,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,382.18	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks	0c	20,562$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.57	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks	15c	20,206$3,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,030.94	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks	0c	20,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.45	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks	16c	18,685$3,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,028.19	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Mavericks	18c	14,704$2,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,626.38	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Mavericks	16c	12,700$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Mavericks	15c	12,600$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks	17c	12,076$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,013.33	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Mavericks	16c	11,000$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Mavericks	1c	10,719$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.84	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks	1c	9,412$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.88	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Mavericks	15c	9,100$1,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.99	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Mavericks	16c	8,317$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Mavericks	16c	7,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Mavericks	15c	7,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.99	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks	15c	6,666$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Mavericks	9c	6,180$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.41	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks	5c	6,084$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.06	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks	16c	6,043$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.27	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Mavericks	16c	6,000$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.49	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…be5dbacked Mavericks	9c	5,556$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	8c	5,182$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.84	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701e…08eabacked Mavericks	15c	4,565$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.75	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	29cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mavericks	17c	4,504$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks	15c	4,489$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.21	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Mavericks	17c	4,349$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.41	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks	5c	4,228$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.96	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Mavericks	14c	3,929$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks	0c	3,455$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Mavericks	15c	3,333$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks	5c	3,145$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.65	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks	17c	3,070$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.91	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Mavericks	18c	3,005$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks	16c	3,000$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.82	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks	16c	3,000$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.64	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Mavericks	1c	2,816$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Mavericks	16c	2,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks	8c	2,270$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.6	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks	16c	2,248$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.26	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	16c	2,069$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.43	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb275…65e2backed Mavericks	17c	2,062$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.54	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a9…be44backed Mavericks	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Mavericks	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Mavericks	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.94	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks	7c	1,997$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.78	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Mavericks	9c	1,921$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.92	164	29.9%49 W · 115 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Mavericks	16c	1,875$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks	17c	1,847$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.99	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda59…e3a5backed Mavericks	17c	1,696$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.32	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc32f…31a0backed Mavericks	14c	1,612$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.66	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc990…b6e6backed Mavericks	16c	1,590$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.4	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62b…67d4backed Mavericks	16c	1,563$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	8c	1,552$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Mavericks	16c	1,501$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.18	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b21…5cc4backed Mavericks	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+4.8wins	+0.25per pick	43cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Mavericks	17c	1,475$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.71	228	57.5%131 W · 97 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aac…ecd6backed Mavericks	14c	1,335$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	158	38.6%61 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f4…a4afbacked Mavericks	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe952…294dbacked Mavericks	17c	1,306$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.02	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Mavericks	8c	1,299$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	216	5.6%12 W · 204 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x496f…a08abacked Mavericks	2c	1,283$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Mavericks	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9819…47eabacked Mavericks	17c	1,196$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.32	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Mavericks	13c	1,149$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.37	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771f…1222backed Mavericks	18c	1,141$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Mavericks	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks	8c	1,093$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.11	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Mavericks	16c	1,061$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.73	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed Mavericks	5c	1,011$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.53	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Mavericks	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+6.2wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Mavericks	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Mavericks	8c	1,000$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	212	43.9%93 W · 119 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Mavericks	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x925f…64e2backed Mavericks	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.45per pick	30cpaid	+243.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Mavericks	16c	992$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.72	88	34.1%30 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f61…ea25backed Mavericks	16c	900$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Mavericks	15c	900$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mavericks	16c	891.15$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.58	731	31.1%227 W · 504 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7900…8a63backed Mavericks	17c	890$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.3	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mavericks	16c	858.65$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.77	410	38%156 W · 254 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Mavericks	14c	849.97$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mavericks	11c	847$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Mavericks	9c	844.39$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks	11c	836$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.32	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Mavericks	11c	815.36$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.49	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-7.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Mavericks	8c	809.01$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.7	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4521…8102backed Mavericks	17c	800$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Mavericks	12c	798.89$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks	4c	792.22$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.69	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Hornetsthis page
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5No won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5No won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Hornets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event