NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31fc6cf391f526a523f8f0c7983490e4ea5436d2fd1a0860f0b959c3c3363ebf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $91,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,269 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	50c	23,695$11,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,806.49	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	47c	16,422$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,649.82	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	57c	15,500$8,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,694.42	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	15,174$7,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,405.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	43c	9,710$4,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,177.41	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	48c	7,687$3,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,706.04	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under	55c	7,309$4,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,281.48	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	48c	4,439$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,117.46	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	57c	2,632$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.58	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under	49c	2,496$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,272.96	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over	44c	2,418$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.12	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	53c	2,052$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.45	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	58c	1,767$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.47	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Under	58c	1,726$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.21	98	49%48 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	49c	1,365$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.48	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under	47c	1,340$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.8	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	49c	1,237$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.19	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	58c	1,032$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.44	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under	68c	1,015$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.67	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	49c	1,002$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.98	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7d…04f3backed Under	47c	727$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	58c	696.81$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.27	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	52c	673.69$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.05	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	47c	633.5$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.76	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	52c	588.38$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.6	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	43c	585$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.55	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	43c	508$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.44	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x839d…592cbacked Under	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+4.5wins	+0.41per pick	50cpaid	+84.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	48c	385.42$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.42	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8287…5f6fbacked Over	53c	375$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7af6…fb4abacked Over	53c	352$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under	47c	319.15$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.15	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	50c	304.16$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.04	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over	50c	300$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	50c	300$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.23	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	39c	296.23$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.01	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Under	47c	260.5$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.07	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	57c	229.75$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.01	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…8173backed Under	47c	172$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.16	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	25c	157.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	47c	148.94$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.94	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over	53c	140$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.2	119	57.1%68 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba8…4defbacked Under	48c	138$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.76	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+35%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…7151backed Under	46c	130$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.2	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under	50c	125.36$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.68	118	50%59 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	50c	120.53$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.93	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	50c	117.59$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.29	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	56c	110.97$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.55	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	40c	101.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	65c	90.94$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.96	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x564c…696cbacked Over	55c	79$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over	23c	77.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	243	58%141 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Over	44c	67.66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over	42c	64.75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	46c	62.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.86	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under	49c	59.78$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.49	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over	45c	57.73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x603e…a246backed Over	52c	55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	48c	52.85$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.71	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	50c	51.65$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a6…340ebacked Over	52c	51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3dd…d5fcbacked Over	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Under	50c	46.16$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under	46c	46$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.84	143	55.2%79 W · 64 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over	46c	45.82$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x293b…5615backed Over	55c	41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over	53c	40.74$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf435…b3acbacked Over	55c	39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	47c	37.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.14	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	74c	36.75$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef49…1207backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	53c	35.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.84	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over	49c	35.27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…099bbacked Over	52c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…3264backed Under	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	47c	30.13$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7356…b839backed Over	44c	29.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	47c	29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under	47c	28.52$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.23	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4261…c5f3backed Over	55c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f8…e102backed Over	55c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under	47c	25.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	1,084	42.4%460 W · 624 L	-48.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over	46c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over	49c	24.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	378	45%170 W · 208 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Over	51c	21.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over	52c	20.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4378…234abacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1e4…6dd7backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	55c	18.61$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under	77c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5this page
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5No won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. HornetsHornets won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5No won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event