NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a44e333807b6afa9c6306ef9d814b7fecfe171f5d7495111872133121b5b139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 53c | 25,899$13,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,140.45 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 10,258$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 5,531$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 4,677$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 4,079$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 2,958$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.16 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 52c | 2,947$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.59 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 2,854$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 2,048$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.35 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 2,045$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.3 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Over | 51c | 1,780$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Under | 50c | 1,697$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…0b70backed Under | 51c | 1,595$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a660backed Over | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…3319backed Over | 50c | 1,290$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…9bd3backed Under | 50c | 1,290$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…1c24backed Over | 50c | 1,284$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…310bbacked Under | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…61bdbacked Over | 50c | 1,246$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9d6bbacked Under | 50c | 1,232$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 1,183$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…e703backed Under | 50c | 1,176$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…451bbacked Under | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…1fb4backed Over | 50c | 1,112$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,100$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…5729backed Under | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 1,060$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…bcf6backed Over | 50c | 1,035$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…023bbacked Over | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…0e7ebacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd624…05ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…517bbacked Under | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…86fabacked Over | 50c | 954$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under | 51c | 892.55$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.35 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Over | 49c | 820$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf89e…6a11backed Under | 50c | 804.88$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…0644backed Over | 50c | 788.69$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9aa8backed Over | 49c | 771$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…1c84backed Over | 50c | 728$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…8e4bbacked Under | 50c | 706$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.12 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…d8fbbacked Over | 50c | 674$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 646.81$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…5b7abacked Over | 50c | 627$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…42b4backed Under | 50c | 597$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…d531backed Over | 50c | 592$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…3566backed Under | 50c | 591$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…e7bebacked Under | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…6f62backed Over | 50c | 589$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…12b3backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…1b24backed Under | 50c | 581$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d6…c6e6backed Under | 50c | 562$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 43c | 545.56$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…207bbacked Under | 50c | 545$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…b6b3backed Over | 50c | 542$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fa…fd48backed Under | 50c | 542$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 44c | 515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…58cfbacked Under | 50c | 514$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…65ecbacked Over | 50c | 512$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…585fbacked Under | 50c | 508$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…64d0backed Under | 50c | 503$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 51c | 501$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.35 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…0c20backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…4f16backed Over | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Over | 30c | 480.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…ef38backed Over | 50c | 477$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…b957backed Over | 50c | 474$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b915backed Under | 50c | 472$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…8242backed Over | 50c | 467$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…c8d0backed Over | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…2710backed Over | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 429$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…832ebacked Over | 50c | 344$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 48c | 335.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.38 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 332.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Over | 45c | 327$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 327$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 305.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 51c | 293.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 43c | 252.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 58c | 244$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 240.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 225.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 197.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cf…2d4cbacked Over | 52c | 193.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…829ebacked Under | 51c | 181.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…389bbacked Under | 49c | 176.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc305…d80dbacked Under | 49c | 164.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…376bbacked Under | 47c | 156$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…bf48backed Over | 52c | 147.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…f31dbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 52c | 136$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 135.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 44c | 124.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.