NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ceb3a99c037427efb2b4859b723974ee9df7b5c904d0c998f327588ac6b526c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,036,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,034,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,036,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 52c | 314,303$163,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,083.71 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hornets | 48c | 306,754$147,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,512.03 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hornets | 49c | 293,885$143,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,261.17 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks | 52c | 227,210$117,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,367.12 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Hornets | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 48c | 115,000$55,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,499.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 52c | 72,000$37,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,440 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 52,576$26,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,991.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 49c | 22,502$10,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Mavericks | 46c | 19,989$9,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,094.97 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 10,124$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,263.92 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 60c | 9,588$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 51c | 5,681$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 48c | 5,623$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Hornets | 48c | 5,158$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.33 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 5,062$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.58 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Hornets | 54c | 4,486$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.78 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets | 49c | 4,088$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.24 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,600$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 51c | 3,328$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 48c | 3,106$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 2,502$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.83 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,265$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,959$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.68 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 48c | 1,811$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Hornets | 49c | 1,322$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.45 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,313$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.52 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Hornets | 49c | 1,288$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.78 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 52c | 1,276$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Hornets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Mavericks | 44c | 999.88$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.9 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mavericks | 52c | 987$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.24 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hornets | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Hornets | 49c | 569.39$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.39 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Hornets | 32c | 547$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.51 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 57c | 506.19$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Mavericks | 52c | 464.53$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Hornets | 48c | 459.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Mavericks | 53c | 452.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Hornets | 48c | 441.4$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.53 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Mavericks | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 47c | 343.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Hornets | 6c | 342.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.03 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 52c | 319.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 53c | 319.73$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.11 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 52c | 299.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Hornets | 49c | 260.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mavericks | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Hornets | 49c | 214.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Mavericks | 52c | 200.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Hornets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets | 48c | 195.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Mavericks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Hornets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…872abacked Mavericks | 53c | 189.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Hornets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 175.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mavericks | 46c | 163.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Mavericks | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 162.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Mavericks | 52c | 153.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Hornets | 56c | 150.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Hornets | 49c | 145.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Hornets | 67c | 136.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Mavericks | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Hornets | 54c | 125.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Mavericks | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hornets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Mavericks | 52c | 103.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Hornets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Hornets | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Mavericks | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.