NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70fb3a54a59014c6ec311c46e07402bd35caa766cfd324d6a41ad6a6a848504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 29,936$13,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,170.62 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Hornets | 59c | 25,639$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,639.38 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Hornets | 56c | 23,800$13,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,472 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 42c | 12,470$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 56c | 2,357$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 2,287$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.77 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 42c | 2,130$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,125$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 44c | 1,700$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 41c | 1,366$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.06 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 44c | 1,211$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Mavericks | 44c | 680$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hornets | 57c | 627.86$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 42c | 616$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 42c | 539.7$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Mavericks | 21c | 535.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mavericks | 43c | 534.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Hornets | 55c | 475.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Hornets | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 42c | 365.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Hornets | 57c | 328.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Mavericks | 43c | 326$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Mavericks | 44c | 280.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…5c77backed Mavericks | 45c | 258.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 56c | 258.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 57c | 248$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 42c | 227.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…1888backed Hornets | 58c | 222.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…916dbacked Hornets | 58c | 215.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…769abacked Hornets | 58c | 214.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 44c | 211.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…2868backed Hornets | 57c | 209.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Mavericks | 43c | 209.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Mavericks | 43c | 201.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…b4f6backed Hornets | 57c | 183.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 47c | 180.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Mavericks | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Hornets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Hornets | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Mavericks | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daf…2db1backed Hornets | 57c | 149.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 43c | 135.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks | 45c | 124.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Mavericks | 42c | 123$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Hornets | 57c | 119.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mavericks | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Hornets | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Mavericks | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 40c | 98.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Hornets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Hornets | 58c | 84.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Mavericks | 43c | 81.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Mavericks | 43c | 81.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 45c | 76.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks | 44c | 75.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 38c | 74.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mavericks | 39c | 73.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Hornets | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 59c | 63.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hornets | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Mavericks | 42c | 59.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Hornets | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Hornets | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…37d5backed Mavericks | 32c | 47.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 52c | 47.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Hornets | 53c | 39.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hornets | 48c | 37.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Hornets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Mavericks | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hornets | 58c | 33.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Hornets | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…b839backed Mavericks | 41c | 29.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Hornets | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Hornets | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Mavericks | 45c | 24.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hornets | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Hornets | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Mavericks | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mavericks | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…187fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Hornets | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Hornets | 65c | 15.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.