TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked Mavericks44c29,936$13,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,170.6223147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Hornets59c25,639$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,639.3815355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Hornets56c23,800$13,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4727638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks42c12,470$5,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets56c2,357$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Mavericks44c2,287$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.7714061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks42c2,130$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks51c2,125$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks44c1,700$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7421,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks41c1,366$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.062,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks44c1,211$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52836449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Mavericks44c680$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.220846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hornets57c627.86$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9821852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks42c616$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.721,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks42c539.7$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Mavericks21c535.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6122836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mavericks43c534.9$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Hornets55c475.84$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.133253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hornets57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17266645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks42c365.43$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Hornets57c328.44$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.236642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Mavericks43c326$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Mavericks44c280.38$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8717844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d60…5c77backed Mavericks45c258.76$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.441735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets56c258.09$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets57c248$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.612,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks42c227.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6227…1888backed Hornets58c222.87$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…916dbacked Hornets58c215.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.461040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb49…769abacked Hornets58c214.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks44c211.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a2…2868backed Hornets57c209.54$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Mavericks43c209.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.94751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Mavericks43c201.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…b4f6backed Hornets57c183.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks47c180.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.875,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Mavericks39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4472250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Hornets58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416854.4%37 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4126048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Mavericks43c163$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0956547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daf…2db1backed Hornets57c149.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks43c135.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.752,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks45c124.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Mavericks42c123$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Hornets57c119.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.323143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mavericks44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Hornets58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Mavericks44c99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.561,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks40c98.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2133360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Hornets58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2112644.4%56 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Hornets58c84.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4120762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Mavericks43c81.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0534047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Mavericks43c81.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0557250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks47c81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.072,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks45c76.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.483,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks44c75.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0866143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks38c74.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.231,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Mavericks39c73.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.681,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Hornets56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4324358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets59c63.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.123,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks43c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.661,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hornets57c59.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6550648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Mavericks42c59.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Hornets69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.523349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Hornets58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2138464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaed…37d5backed Mavericks32c47.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.091729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mavericks52c47.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.492,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Hornets53c39.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7325655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hornets48c37.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Hornets56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7117046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Mavericks46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.217545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks43c33.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.452,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hornets58c33.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0945251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Hornets56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.214049.3%69 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7356…b839backed Mavericks41c29.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Hornets57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3229348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Hornets57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3211553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Mavericks45c24.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Hornets57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5659948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Hornets57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5625150.6%127 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Mavericks44c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.444240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mavericks43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7397…187fbacked Mavericks49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Hornets56c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6410753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Hornets65c15.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5213950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.