TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over47c38,029$17,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,924.0960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over46c35,518$16,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,303.5232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c21,225$10,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,225.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under48c19,823$9,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,282.2743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under53c15,911$8,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,478.1752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over47c12,766$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over47c11,819$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under53c11,073$5,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.2340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under54c9,349$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.3326949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c9,119$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.036,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under53c7,547$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.5426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x669c…7c68backed Under54c6,540$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9912745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c4,834$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.254,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c4,542$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Under52c4,222$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.538148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5816640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c3,444$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under54c3,144$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.6522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under54c3,131$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.4815549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c2,638$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.241,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.9226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Under54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over31c1,383$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5622836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,237$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.023,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c1,157$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.251,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c1,092$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c1,051$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.461,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c998$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c875.32$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.43,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over51c873.63$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over50c873$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c844.59$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8535749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Over49c787.76$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3867448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over49c760.44$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over51c458.82$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23416849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over50c437$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3af…0b21backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.365356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c340.96$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14922746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14128348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x157c…3657backed Under54c298$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c289.85$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.695,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c232.83$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over44c226.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.853149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over49c202.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.514053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under51c196.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.211,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c176.1$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.321,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over58c172.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over48c152.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7326756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under54c145$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under54c145$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.742853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over52c127.11$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under45c114.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.312552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c107.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Under53c103.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.912744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over53c103.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.711,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c101.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.441,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over64c99.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6428056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5563353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c94.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over53c88.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Under55c77.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.234035%14 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1caf…f649backed Over56c71.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over57c70.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…683dbacked Over55c65.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under47c62.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3229351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under51c60.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…32aebacked Over49c51.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c50.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e3…c9d0backed Under52c50.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over54c49.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under75c48.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c45.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.012,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under48c45.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5414264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Under53c42.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.955054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over53c41.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7430151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c40.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e85…73eebacked Under52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c39.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over51c36.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4245653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.