TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0d5…dd7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$21.68
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$11.08
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$12.09
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
BNP Paribas Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$155.55
BNP Paribas Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anna Bondarbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.17
BNP Paribas Open: Donna Vekic vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$116.48
BNP Paribas Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
BNP Paribas Open: Laura Siegemund vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+56.9%+$28.54
BNP Paribas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.89
BNP Paribas Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
BNP Paribas Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Marina Stakusicbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.6%+$25.87
BNP Paribas Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$6.33
BNP Paribas Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Martin Dammbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$20.94
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64.11
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.39
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Alexis Galarneau vs Tomas Barriosbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.36
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Tristan Schoolkate vs Elias Ymerbacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Katie Boulter vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.05
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+69%+$17.28
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.38
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32.97
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+94.8%+$46.95
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Thunder vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$26.41
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.11
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104%+$50.28
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+79.7%+$16.24
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.13
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$71.15
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tundra Esports win DreamLeague 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.