Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Miomir Kecmanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc473ff65219e85aac0778e67044d2dd680e409ccc98b9cc4f4e99b0b96e9f972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miomir Kecmanovicof Daniel Altmaier, Miomir Kecmanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,993 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Daniel Altmaier | 0c | 11,160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 6,499$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Daniel Altmaier | 8c | 5,613$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Daniel Altmaier | 21c | 4,224$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.02 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 79c | 2,493$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.53 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Altmaier | 18c | 1,802$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 79c | 1,702$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Daniel Altmaier | 7c | 1,509$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniel Altmaier | 21c | 1,369$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Daniel Altmaier | 10c | 1,227$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Daniel Altmaier | 21c | 1,014$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…cfadbacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 1,005$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 78c | 961.54$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Daniel Altmaier | 9c | 807.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 758$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Altmaier | 16c | 719.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daniel Altmaier | 8c | 585.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 547.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…e3c9backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 525$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 493.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 460$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 400$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 371$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 360.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…fb90backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 318.67$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Daniel Altmaier | 8c | 313.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Daniel Altmaier | 6c | 308.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 308$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 284$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Daniel Altmaier | 11c | 248.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Altmaier | 21c | 226.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…6594backed Daniel Altmaier | 21c | 221.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Daniel Altmaier | 18c | 217$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Daniel Altmaier | 17c | 171.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 149.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 139.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 134.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 131$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Daniel Altmaier | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 86.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 86.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniel Altmaier | 19c | 74.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 60.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Daniel Altmaier | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Daniel Altmaier | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 79c | 34.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…25cfbacked Miomir Kecmanovic | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…91e7backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…1909backed Miomir Kecmanovic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 76cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Miomir Kecmanovicthis page
- Altmaier vs. Kecmanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.