TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Sho Shimabukuro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sho Shimabukuroof Martin Landaluce, Sho Shimabukuro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b4…13c9backed Sho Shimabukuro48c50,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.983647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sho Shimabukuro57c23,250$13,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,051.652,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Martin Landaluce50c19,636$9,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,851.9711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Martin Landaluce50c16,881$8,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,476.452,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Martin Landaluce46c11,800$5,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,427.971,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Martin Landaluce45c10,234$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.5881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Sho Shimabukuro46c9,454$4,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,105.2543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Martin Landaluce40c6,886$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.5757939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Martin Landaluce50c4,516$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.796,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Martin Landaluce45c4,263$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.4938652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Sho Shimabukuro47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Martin Landaluce45c4,213$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Martin Landaluce55c3,624$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Martin Landaluce10c3,467$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6511417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed Sho Shimabukuro57c3,374$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.631963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Martin Landaluce3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99755.3%4 W · 71 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Martin Landaluce54c3,163$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.131,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Sho Shimabukuro63c3,146$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.037368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Martin Landaluce30c3,142$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.2144038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sho Shimabukuro66c2,937$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.051,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Sho Shimabukuro47c2,534$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.641,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Martin Landaluce54c2,506$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3534040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x282d…f0c8backed Martin Landaluce54c2,460$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Martin Landaluce52c2,402$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.481,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Sho Shimabukuro49c2,061$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.0328444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sho Shimabukuro49c2,050$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.351,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Martin Landaluce37c1,936$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.671,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Martin Landaluce2c1,736$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.711942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Martin Landaluce35c1,416$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.233,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Sho Shimabukuro57c1,372$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.2463247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f1…0e04backed Martin Landaluce53c1,288$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Sho Shimabukuro62c1,282$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4454450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sho Shimabukuro66c1,205$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.464,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Martin Landaluce51c1,168$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff8…bc24backed Martin Landaluce37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0f…e17fbacked Sho Shimabukuro63c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Sho Shimabukuro47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5831,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Martin Landaluce44c991.56$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.632,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Martin Landaluce13c854.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9346030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Martin Landaluce54c850$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.523847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Sho Shimabukuro47c848.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.9914250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Martin Landaluce51c746.35$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2679951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Martin Landaluce53c637.72$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1717552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Martin Landaluce32c633.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Sho Shimabukuro49c610.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1465651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Martin Landaluce47c593.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0712952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Sho Shimabukuro72c566.67$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6726158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19cf…c612backed Sho Shimabukuro58c556.44$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Martin Landaluce54c555.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.191,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Martin Landaluce59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Sho Shimabukuro46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27023454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Sho Shimabukuro47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Sho Shimabukuro45c499.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9946553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Sho Shimabukuro47c495.03$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.36639.4%26 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Martin Landaluce17c493.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8468026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Martin Landaluce54c467.2$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4215848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Sho Shimabukuro50c447.47$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4727935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Sho Shimabukuro62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15231146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Martin Landaluce49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Martin Landaluce28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11231039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Sho Shimabukuro64c396.19$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.198145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Martin Landaluce54c378.48$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Martin Landaluce53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Sho Shimabukuro47c357.05$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9230530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Sho Shimabukuro38c355.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2628833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Martin Landaluce49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c335.71$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.712147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Martin Landaluce54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17543448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Martin Landaluce46c313.33$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.322,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Martin Landaluce35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9f…c88bbacked Sho Shimabukuro58c275.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.861457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sho Shimabukuro47c274.71$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.81,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Martin Landaluce37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Martin Landaluce49c260.63$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6245147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Martin Landaluce44c259.84$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1547057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Martin Landaluce34c258.4$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8612032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Sho Shimabukuro78c250.81$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.818056.3%45 W · 35 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sho Shimabukuro45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Martin Landaluce54c239.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9825546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Sho Shimabukuro75c236$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8137342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Sho Shimabukuro45c220.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4354348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Martin Landaluce54c217.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6142046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Martin Landaluce50c216.6$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.334745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Sho Shimabukuro58c211.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2761953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Martin Landaluce18c211.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Martin Landaluce49c204.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10162534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Sho Shimabukuro54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.712057.5%69 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Martin Landaluce7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Martin Landaluce53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10646649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Martin Landaluce53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Sho Shimabukuro79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8784963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Martin Landaluce53c188.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Martin Landaluce53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf959…6026backed Martin Landaluce41c180.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Landaluce51c176.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.576,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Martin Landaluce53c176$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.761,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Sho Shimabukuro48c176$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.111,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Martin Landaluce49c171$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.794,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Martin Landaluce53c156.86$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1429063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sho Shimabukuro41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.