Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5587e131b319a3908e5ea73df620212562dc5c721a640c50decca60df7458104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mackenzie McDonaldof Trevor Svajda, Mackenzie McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trevor Svajda | 9c | 6,823$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 64c | 1,214$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.72 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Trevor Svajda | 28c | 1,164$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.01 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trevor Svajda | 43c | 1,046$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.69 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 73c | 748.76$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.13 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…8d55backed Trevor Svajda | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trevor Svajda | 8c | 590.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Trevor Svajda | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mackenzie McDonald | 64c | 547.6$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.03 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 78c | 508.55$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 58c | 459.5$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trevor Svajda | 29c | 405$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Trevor Svajda | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Trevor Svajda | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Trevor Svajda | 40c | 290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Trevor Svajda | 29c | 289$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed Trevor Svajda | 27c | 277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 261.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 63c | 251.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trevor Svajda | 28c | 233$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Trevor Svajda | 36c | 219.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Mackenzie McDonald | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Trevor Svajda | 38c | 196$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Trevor Svajda | 27c | 184.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Trevor Svajda | 23c | 157.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Trevor Svajda | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trevor Svajda | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Trevor Svajda | 26c | 144.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Mackenzie McDonald | 70c | 143.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Trevor Svajda | 21c | 136.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Mackenzie McDonald | 71c | 132.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Trevor Svajda | 29c | 131.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 100.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Trevor Svajda | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Trevor Svajda | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Mackenzie McDonald | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Mackenzie McDonald | 74c | 75.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Trevor Svajda | 41c | 73.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Trevor Svajda | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Trevor Svajda | 27c | 60.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Trevor Svajda | 44c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Trevor Svajda | 23c | 51.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Trevor Svajda | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 62c | 40.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…d339backed Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 38.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Mackenzie McDonald | 62c | 34.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Mackenzie McDonald | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Trevor Svajda | 45c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…6573backed Mackenzie McDonald | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Mackenzie McDonald | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Mackenzie McDonald | 73c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mackenzie McDonald | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…a18ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 74c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.