NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3580a3644df124825174139577fd6a12d51f9d2c2c0ed586abc412a3c05874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Panthers, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers | 29c | 1,089$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.77 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 68c | 1,050$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Panthers | 31c | 654$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Panthers | 32c | 381.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 31c | 334$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Panthers | 33c | 265.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 68c | 253.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Panthers | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Panthers | 31c | 219.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Sabres | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Panthers | 35c | 202.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Panthers | 31c | 196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Sabres | 70c | 141.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6a…7e49backed Sabres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Sabres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…c612backed Panthers | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Panthers | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Sabres | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Sabres | 71c | 95.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Sabres | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sabres | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Panthers | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Panthers | 30c | 43.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Sabres | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 65c | 34.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sabres | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sabres | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Sabres | 71c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Sabres | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sabres | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. PanthersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.