NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c4fb662fa53b0552a076f02b2afb629ba81ce72a639cc6512fc9a204cb76b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 24,012$12,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,283.13 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…5befbacked Under | 52c | 18,700$9,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,976 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…598fbacked Over | 48c | 16,000$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 47c | 9,080$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 47c | 8,862$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 47c | 5,378$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.79 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 4,103$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.23 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 4,013$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.27 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…f531backed Over | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 52c | 1,933$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.83 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,902$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.38 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 1,467$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.64 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 47c | 891.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 54c | 458.07$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.71 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 356$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Under | 54c | 254.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Under | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 46c | 178.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 176.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 171.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Over | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 30c | 112.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 55c | 104.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a877backed Under | 52c | 95.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Over | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Over | 47c | 80.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Over | 46c | 65.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Over | 46c | 65.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 64.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Over | 46c | 63.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 62.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Over | 46c | 60.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 45c | 58.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 49.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Under | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 25.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 55c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…39f7backed Under | 53c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e9…d62abacked Under | 53c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 19.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. PanthersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.