TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,468,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,488,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,468,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Sabres48c411,425$197,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214,101.167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bd…238ebacked Panthers51c288,943$148,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,672.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+69.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Panthers53c164,253$86,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,248.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Sabres49c105,000$51,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,55048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers50c83,631$41,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,747.6138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sabres49c35,921$17,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,269.391,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Panthers52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Panthers50c17,313$8,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,727.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Panthers0c17,259$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2618520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres48c16,713$8,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,621.841,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Panthers48c15,319$7,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,363.4821755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sabres49c14,751$7,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,523.0232151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Panthers51c13,559$6,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,915.2648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Panthers52c12,596$6,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5505949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Panthers46c11,000$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,110850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Panthers23c10,900$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Sabres48c10,160$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.23554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Sabres48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Sabres49c7,777$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.272763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers49c7,378$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.6289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Panthers51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5709752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres49c6,694$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.9451045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…5a1bbacked Panthers52c6,380$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Sabres48c6,087$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.2426058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers50c5,400$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Sabres51c5,351$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.8212838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Panthers11c5,117$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9612835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Sabres50c5,108$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.168748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Sabres49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sabres49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers53c3,962$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres62c3,650$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.6699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers51c3,487$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Panthers33c3,344$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.7634538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers12c3,300$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9160337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers50c3,214$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.871,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2231550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Sabres49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2218258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Sabres50c3,001$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.594067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Sabres48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Panthers32c2,988$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.7527739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe1…ea1abacked Panthers51c2,713$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.391266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…fc11backed Sabres50c2,580$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2902133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d08…ec80backed Sabres50c2,528$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Panthers50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers51c2,500$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.6560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Sabres49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.912347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Panthers52c2,491$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.3261953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres53c2,485$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.813,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf727…6dd4backed Panthers51c2,418$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Panthers32c2,412$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.916447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sabres76c2,409$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.2875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Panthers30c2,301$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.7618344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3359…d5bdbacked Sabres49c2,242$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers51c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.1891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres63c2,088$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.651,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbe…5fadbacked Panthers51c2,050$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers51c2,000$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.3543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb90…92f7backed Panthers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2778…7c0bbacked Sabres48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628d…14d2backed Panthers52c1,995$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bde…2515backed Sabres48c1,995$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb7…1e83backed Panthers52c1,990$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17c…c24bbacked Panthers52c1,990$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054e…b6e4backed Sabres48c1,990$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…0f8dbacked Panthers52c1,990$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd7…e6a0backed Panthers52c1,990$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc38a…b46ebacked Sabres48c1,990$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48db…c28fbacked Panthers52c1,990$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x136b…7e97backed Sabres48c1,990$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x123d…bd2fbacked Panthers52c1,990$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…0be3backed Sabres48c1,990$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1a…5292backed Sabres48c1,990$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71fc…5327backed Sabres48c1,990$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers42c1,989$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.651,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8b…b98cbacked Panthers52c1,985$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc088…1d43backed Panthers52c1,985$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69c0…0162backed Sabres48c1,985$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c2…5e1ebacked Panthers52c1,985$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x399c…cc17backed Sabres48c1,985$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa759…ec94backed Sabres48c1,985$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c03abacked Sabres48c1,985$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f0…c900backed Panthers52c1,985$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c6…5896backed Panthers52c1,980$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b7…e998backed Sabres48c1,980$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b8…1f4dbacked Panthers52c1,980$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46f…e6d6backed Sabres48c1,980$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1acb…4399backed Panthers52c1,980$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c51…7b26backed Panthers52c1,980$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2733…2574backed Sabres48c1,980$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc213…f073backed Sabres48c1,980$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4aa…3219backed Sabres48c1,975$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72c…b967backed Panthers52c1,975$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf80…6a5dbacked Panthers52c1,975$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b0…16c1backed Sabres48c1,975$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd44…4517backed Panthers52c1,975$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efd…63bdbacked Sabres48c1,975$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe57…5e69backed Panthers52c1,970$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.