NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8563d0f76a3cc58983e8600459e72d026dca7ac5a663931bdae83df34809bf02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 62c | 1,213$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 975.33$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.38 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 38c | 863.46$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 61c | 823.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 670.62$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 367.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 60c | 331.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 59c | 168.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 157.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 61c | 157.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Over | 39c | 129.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 39c | 114.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 39c | 95.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Over | 45c | 89.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 71.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 69.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 30c | 44.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 61c | 25.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…fb2bbacked Under | 66c | 20.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. PanthersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.