Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Darja Vidmanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27c8a98f116d9d2b5252a8ab64dcc167949692040d2ff6d3bc55f6f49d5e4bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darja Vidmanovaof Priscilla Hon, Darja Vidmanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Priscilla Hon | 34c | 12,619$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Darja Vidmanova | 65c | 12,249$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.35 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Darja Vidmanova | 75c | 4,448$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.1 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Priscilla Hon | 25c | 4,119$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.79 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Darja Vidmanova | 66c | 4,086$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.24 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Priscilla Hon | 20c | 2,506$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Darja Vidmanova | 74c | 2,014$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.78 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Priscilla Hon | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.69 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed Priscilla Hon | 9c | 2,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darja Vidmanova | 71c | 1,189$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Priscilla Hon | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Priscilla Hon | 17c | 999.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Priscilla Hon | 25c | 836.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Priscilla Hon | 9c | 607$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Priscilla Hon | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Priscilla Hon | 6c | 372.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Darja Vidmanova | 65c | 324.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Priscilla Hon | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Priscilla Hon | 36c | 297.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Priscilla Hon | 33c | 291$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Darja Vidmanova | 69c | 287.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Darja Vidmanova | 61c | 287.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Priscilla Hon | 19c | 266.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Priscilla Hon | 32c | 264$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Darja Vidmanova | 63c | 262$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Priscilla Hon | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Priscilla Hon | 37c | 246.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Darja Vidmanova | 60c | 241.95$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Priscilla Hon | 33c | 237$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Darja Vidmanova | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Priscilla Hon | 40c | 234$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Darja Vidmanova | 76c | 207.58$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Darja Vidmanova | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Priscilla Hon | 15c | 193$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…a59bbacked Priscilla Hon | 18c | 166.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Priscilla Hon | 40c | 166.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Priscilla Hon | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Priscilla Hon | 10c | 128.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Priscilla Hon | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Priscilla Hon | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Priscilla Hon | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Priscilla Hon | 27c | 103$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Priscilla Hon | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Priscilla Hon | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Darja Vidmanova | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Priscilla Hon | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Priscilla Hon | 38c | 94.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Priscilla Hon | 41c | 85.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Darja Vidmanova | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Priscilla Hon | 24c | 75.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Darja Vidmanova | 64c | 60.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Priscilla Hon | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Priscilla Hon | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Darja Vidmanova | 74c | 43.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Priscilla Hon | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Priscilla Hon | 38c | 38.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Darja Vidmanova | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Darja Vidmanova | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Darja Vidmanova | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Darja Vidmanova | 78c | 32.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Darja Vidmanova | 76c | 32.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…8a7fbacked Darja Vidmanova | 75c | 31.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Priscilla Hon | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darja Vidmanova | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Priscilla Hon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Darja Vidmanova | 72c | 24.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…c1cbbacked Darja Vidmanova | 69c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Darja Vidmanova | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Darja Vidmanova | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…5597backed Darja Vidmanova | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.