TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b01…125e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.35
Savannah: Jack Kennedy vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.08
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+87%+$22.61
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$72.69
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.38
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Naomi Osakabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.97
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$15.47
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondarbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.46
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.51
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.81
Brasilia: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Miguel Damasbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.44
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Priscilla Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Katie Boulter vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+115.6%+$13.88
Brasilia: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+136.4%+$38.29
Brasilia: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.9
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Liam Draxlbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Brasilia: Gustavo Heide vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$515.12
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Joselyne Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$41.42
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$39.42
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$36.3
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Eric McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+136%+$21.52
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$24.5
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.47
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mayra Bueno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Victor Valenzuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Talita Alencar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$35.58
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$40.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+86%+$9.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.