TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jackson McVeyof Sedriques Dumas, Jackson McVey
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$455,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$474,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Jackson McVey63c360,915$227,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,685.577454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Sedriques Dumas37c85,360$31,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,583.214558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Sedriques Dumas37c84,873$31,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,450.4110035%35 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Sedriques Dumas37c51,029$18,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,873.256238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Sedriques Dumas37c32,006$11,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,842.373545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sedriques Dumas37c24,139$8,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,931.5915444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Sedriques Dumas37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4008220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Sedriques Dumas37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4003943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Sedriques Dumas1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200368.3%3 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Sedriques Dumas37c10,665$3,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.054946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Sedriques Dumas37c8,848$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.761435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sedriques Dumas37c8,028$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.4929133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Sedriques Dumas37c7,900$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9234839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Sedriques Dumas37c6,280$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Sedriques Dumas39c3,328$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+88.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sedriques Dumas31c2,708$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.8820139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Jackson McVey64c2,559$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.377460.8%45 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Sedriques Dumas37c2,402$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.598622.1%19 W · 67 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Sedriques Dumas34c2,077$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.534327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed Sedriques Dumas37c2,043$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7564035%14 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sedriques Dumas36c1,944$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8342054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Sedriques Dumas40c1,923$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.553650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Sedriques Dumas37c1,916$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.085156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755d…8a3cbacked Sedriques Dumas1c1,411$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sedriques Dumas37c1,276$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.738754%47 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Sedriques Dumas38c1,264$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.449247.8%44 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Sedriques Dumas40c1,236$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5714237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Sedriques Dumas39c997.95$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.222661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d5…7a3bbacked Sedriques Dumas39c988.1$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Jackson McVey61c949.61$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.3511761.5%72 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Jackson McVey62c917.22$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.548851.1%45 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Jackson McVey63c796.56$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.734957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Sedriques Dumas18c758.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.916048.3%29 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed Sedriques Dumas37c758.4$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.612630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Jackson McVey60c721.11$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4410255.9%57 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08db…cf71backed Sedriques Dumas38c640.64$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.643565.7%23 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Sedriques Dumas37c621$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Sedriques Dumas36c607.55$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.811540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Jackson McVey65c577.69$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2753956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Jackson McVey64c574.81$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jackson McVey70c571.81$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7713951.1%71 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Jackson McVey64c544.24$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.923756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed Sedriques Dumas37c539.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7760%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Sedriques Dumas38c500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.266254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Jackson McVey64c452.28$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.823650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Jackson McVey63c448.78$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.547647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Jackson McVey64c423.09$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.126140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Jackson McVey62c390.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5336655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Sedriques Dumas37c351.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.959459.6%56 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Sedriques Dumas35c330$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.848749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Sedriques Dumas37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Jackson McVey61c299.97$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9952252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Sedriques Dumas37c292.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2126743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Sedriques Dumas37c284.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3316244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a0…76e0backed Sedriques Dumas7c260.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick24cpaid+60.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6018…ac09backed Sedriques Dumas37c256.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x980c…74cebacked Sedriques Dumas38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.284151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sedriques Dumas37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.56045%27 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Jackson McVey79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4912557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Sedriques Dumas39c247$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.334459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sedriques Dumas13c230.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.853438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Sedriques Dumas37c209.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.976546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sedriques Dumas37c207.87$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9115540.6%63 W · 92 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Jackson McVey76c207.02$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7212451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Jackson McVey60c204$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jackson McVey73c180.21$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2835848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Sedriques Dumas37c180.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2712755.1%70 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf390…6b74backed Jackson McVey64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…d3fdbacked Jackson McVey64c169.69$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.094761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a8…9f48backed Sedriques Dumas17c167.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sedriques Dumas24c163$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2138353.3%204 W · 179 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Jackson McVey62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8913647.1%64 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jackson McVey59c156.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2110664.2%68 W · 38 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Jackson McVey64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.049756.7%55 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Sedriques Dumas37c152$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.241729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Jackson McVey65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7226569.4%184 W · 81 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Jackson McVey67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Jackson McVey68c145.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.594645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Sedriques Dumas37c143.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.046246.8%29 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Sedriques Dumas38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.451533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Sedriques Dumas38c129.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.031560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36e1…f0b6backed Sedriques Dumas38c128.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.972540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Sedriques Dumas38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1410949.5%54 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Jackson McVey62c126.09$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9110651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ba…86fdbacked Sedriques Dumas39c124.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1625160.2%151 W · 100 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Sedriques Dumas39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171225%3 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa61b…6559backed Sedriques Dumas39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.173636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…5a4dbacked Sedriques Dumas39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sedriques Dumas34c122.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.856450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…029bbacked Sedriques Dumas36c119.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9310351.5%53 W · 50 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Jackson McVey64c119.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.933548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Jackson McVey61c114.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.767452.7%39 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Sedriques Dumas37c111$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.076732.8%22 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c6…f4e2backed Jackson McVey63c108.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.222568.9%155 W · 70 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sedriques Dumas18c107.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5817524%42 W · 133 L-22.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Sedriques Dumas37c107.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.89944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914b…b84abacked Sedriques Dumas41c100.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.989637.5%36 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Jackson McVey61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jackson McVey60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010350.5%52 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Jackson McVey64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.