UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37199f2cd0fe6c3f2d7296f441cd185375af2324998b20f0a9048673721050c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 805.79$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 43c | 739.59$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Over | 45c | 687.21$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.44 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 57c | 653$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…6a34backed Under | 61c | 374.21$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 44c | 373.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 331.85$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Over | 43c | 246.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 55c | 195.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 145.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 40c | 97.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 56c | 87.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Under | 61c | 79.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…8bc4backed Over | 43c | 50.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 45c | 28.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…eb30backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Over | 43c | 25.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)Jackson McVey won
- Will Jackson McVey win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.