Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0987f4bdf04c584750a6b81583685823dd8f00e16b1d4fd148d9ae7f5bc342f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Joao Lucas Da Silva, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Matias Soto | 0c | 6,162$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Matias Soto | 41c | 3,953$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.85 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Matias Soto | 44c | 2,710$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.69 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Matias Soto | 21c | 2,265$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Matias Soto | 47c | 2,150$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 1,564$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.17 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Matias Soto | 34c | 1,201$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Matias Soto | 24c | 1,055$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 876.69$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.69 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 69c | 819.47$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 767$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 60c | 762$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 754$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 62c | 730$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 719$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54c | 558.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.49 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 44c | 519.92$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.62 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 482$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 57c | 473.61$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 434.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 410$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Matias Soto | 26c | 409.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Matias Soto | 44c | 384.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matias Soto | 30c | 327.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Matias Soto | 26c | 302.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matias Soto | 34c | 276.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 44c | 269.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 46c | 251.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Matias Soto | 58c | 228$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Matias Soto | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 60c | 169$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Matias Soto | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Matias Soto | 32c | 147.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Matias Soto | 40c | 127.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 66c | 107$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Matias Soto | 32c | 93.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matias Soto | 16c | 91.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Matias Soto | 37c | 67.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 62c | 66.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…0089backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 43c | 26.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.