UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c7f0cde3f598fa00cffd659b364f8811425671c335b292a6a3d7369091e900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Davey Grantof Davey Grant, Adrian Luna Martinetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Davey Grant | 52c | 40,992$21,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,603.41 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 14c | 35,845$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 21,795$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 19,790$9,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 47c | 14,098$6,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,625.95 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 5c | 13,891$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.95 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Davey Grant | 52c | 7,356$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.35 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Davey Grant | 64c | 6,864$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.46 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 47c | 6,055$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.7 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.98 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Davey Grant | 51c | 5,601$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.69 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Davey Grant | 53c | 5,526$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 4,959$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.85 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 4,367$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Davey Grant | 53c | 3,766$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.11 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Davey Grant | 53c | 3,573$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.09 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Davey Grant | 49c | 3,519$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Davey Grant | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 14c | 3,208$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.08 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Davey Grant | 52c | 3,000$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.97 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Davey Grant | 51c | 2,881$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.92 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Davey Grant | 52c | 2,493$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 2,473$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.81 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 1,987$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 34c | 1,639$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.82 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Davey Grant | 53c | 1,593$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 1,558$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.3 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Davey Grant | 50c | 1,522$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Davey Grant | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.12 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 1,407$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.97 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 1,332$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Davey Grant | 53c | 1,195$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 47c | 1,177$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.34 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 47c | 1,123$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.16 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Davey Grant | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Davey Grant | 53c | 1,101$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.49 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Davey Grant | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 997.64$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.87 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 990.17$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Davey Grant | 66c | 988.04$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.08 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Davey Grant | 71c | 975.46$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.88 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Davey Grant | 69c | 909.63$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Davey Grant | 63c | 781.67$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.91 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Davey Grant | 53c | 736.27$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.52 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…bbedbacked Davey Grant | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Davey Grant | 51c | 699.96$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.98 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 639.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.39 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Davey Grant | 69c | 637.4$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Davey Grant | 52c | 629.95$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.38 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 23c | 610.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 385 | 53.2%205 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Davey Grant | 76c | 578.33$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Davey Grant | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Davey Grant | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 21c | 536.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 11c | 517.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Davey Grant | 58c | 507.16$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Davey Grant | 52c | 505.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 43c | 501.8$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Davey Grant | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Davey Grant | 51c | 499.95$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 39c | 492.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 50c | 491.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 32c | 479.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 30c | 478.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Davey Grant | 61c | 478.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 3c | 470.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Davey Grant | 53c | 469.18$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Davey Grant | 69c | 467.11$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 466.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed Davey Grant | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 32c | 443$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Davey Grant | 68c | 429.05$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 38c | 394.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…93d9backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 47c | 386.36$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 34c | 385.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 383.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 16c | 379.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 6c | 377.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 373.91$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 20c | 343.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 313.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Adrian Luna Martinetti | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 30c | 295.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…1493backed Davey Grant | 66c | 295.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 18c | 295.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Davey Grant | 53c | 289.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Davey Grant | 58c | 284.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…cf71backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 49c | 277.07$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Davey Grant | 53c | 276.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…74cebacked Davey Grant | 53c | 275.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Davey Grant | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Davey Grant | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 33c | 271.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Adrian Luna Martinetti | 36c | 269.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Adrian Luna Martinetti win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.