UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70bb89c7126ba3232c6391dff90b31165b01169bd1fb8dfc3d7e6f2639814c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perezof Chiasson, Perez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $630,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $682,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Perez | 63c | 89,560$56,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,332.86 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chiasson | 38c | 84,615$31,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,907.71 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Perez | 62c | 70,815$44,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,807.91 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Chiasson | 38c | 66,833$25,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,248.84 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chiasson | 37c | 55,555$20,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,555.35 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Perez | 62c | 44,927$27,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,107.56 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Perez | 63c | 37,561$23,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,054.04 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Perez | 63c | 37,034$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,633.73 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Perez | 62c | 25,180$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,580.16 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chiasson | 16c | 21,702$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.68 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Chiasson | 37c | 19,958$7,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,384.35 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Perez | 57c | 16,828$9,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.7 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Chiasson | 38c | 16,100$6,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,061.65 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Perez | 63c | 15,592$9,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,769.31 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Perez | 64c | 14,931$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.56 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Chiasson | 35c | 12,694$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.23 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Chiasson | 51c | 11,168$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,648.38 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Perez | 77c | 10,625$8,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.04 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Chiasson | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Perez | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chiasson | 37c | 8,785$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.72 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Chiasson | 36c | 8,539$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.05 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Chiasson | 37c | 8,478$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.77 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Chiasson | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Chiasson | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Chiasson | 38c | 6,853$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.1 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Chiasson | 27c | 6,000$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.78 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chiasson | 37c | 5,816$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.97 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Perez | 61c | 5,749$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chiasson | 38c | 5,726$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Chiasson | 38c | 5,100$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.97 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chiasson | 37c | 5,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chiasson | 38c | 4,973$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.79 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Chiasson | 37c | 4,830$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Perez | 75c | 4,704$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.84 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Chiasson | 38c | 4,486$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.65 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Perez | 52c | 4,132$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.32 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chiasson | 36c | 4,080$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Chiasson | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Chiasson | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Perez | 62c | 3,738$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.67 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Chiasson | 38c | 3,703$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.14 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Chiasson | 37c | 3,686$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Chiasson | 38c | 3,500$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Chiasson | 38c | 3,457$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.18 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Chiasson | 38c | 3,351$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Chiasson | 38c | 3,221$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Chiasson | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Perez | 63c | 2,970$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.07 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Chiasson | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Perez | 45c | 2,503$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.94 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Chiasson | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Chiasson | 38c | 2,438$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Chiasson | 38c | 2,297$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.56 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Chiasson | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Chiasson | 38c | 2,090$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.2 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Perez | 62c | 2,025$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.87 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chiasson | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Perez | 53c | 1,973$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.91 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chiasson | 40c | 1,881$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Perez | 60c | 1,881$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Perez | 62c | 1,859$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Perez | 50c | 1,744$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.2 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chiasson | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Chiasson | 3c | 1,666$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…dd64backed Perez | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Perez | 52c | 1,511$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chiasson | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Perez | 61c | 1,434$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Chiasson | 25c | 1,430$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Chiasson | 22c | 1,358$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Chiasson | 38c | 1,321$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Chiasson | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Chiasson | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Chiasson | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Chiasson | 38c | 1,315$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Chiasson | 37c | 1,288$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Chiasson | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Perez | 63c | 1,274$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Chiasson | 43c | 1,200$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Chiasson | 41c | 1,196$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Chiasson | 37c | 1,083$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Chiasson | 36c | 1,047$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.61 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Perez | 58c | 1,021$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.86 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Chiasson | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Chiasson | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Perez | 48c | 997$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.91 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Perez | 37c | 969.62$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.1 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Perez | 73c | 957.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chiasson | 23c | 856$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Perez | 39c | 844$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Perez | 64c | 837.18$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed Chiasson | 39c | 833.9$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Perez | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Chiasson | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Chiasson | 38c | 751$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Chiasson | 32c | 663.57$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Perez | 45c | 661.16$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.44 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Chiasson | 38c | 660$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chiasson | 39c | 646$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.