UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ddfd46da6b4912cc4856eae26096e749a16815e8efcab0ba422ddcc6258440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victor Valenzuelaof Max Griffin, Victor Valenzuela
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Max Griffin | 47c | 89,327$41,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,620.45 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 74,311$40,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,183.13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Max Griffin | 46c | 35,506$16,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,332.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Max Griffin | 48c | 34,203$16,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,317.81 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 33,005$17,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,512.13 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Max Griffin | 19c | 32,709$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,187.52 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 30,769$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,769.07 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 29,912$15,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,058.65 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Victor Valenzuela | 80c | 11,085$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.4 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Max Griffin | 13c | 10,727$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Max Griffin | 48c | 10,039$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Max Griffin | 45c | 5,474$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.51 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Max Griffin | 18c | 3,961$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.08 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 3,110$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Max Griffin | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Max Griffin | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Max Griffin | 11c | 2,756$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.11 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Victor Valenzuela | 75c | 2,637$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.78 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Max Griffin | 21c | 2,491$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.16 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.15 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Max Griffin | 12c | 1,723$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Max Griffin | 26c | 1,694$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.67 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 1,610$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.67 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.97 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Max Griffin | 31c | 1,478$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.53 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 1,341$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.69 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Max Griffin | 11c | 1,256$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 1,250$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Max Griffin | 1c | 1,182$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b3…6bf7backed Max Griffin | 4c | 1,179$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Max Griffin | 15c | 1,159$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Max Griffin | 21c | 1,122$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 1,095$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 1,069$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.42 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Victor Valenzuela | 77c | 1,065$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.22 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Max Griffin | 20c | 1,062$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 1,055$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.24 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 1,037$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Max Griffin | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Max Griffin | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Max Griffin | 45c | 959.37$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.46 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 899.78$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Max Griffin | 16c | 759.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Victor Valenzuela | 70c | 700.01$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.34 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Max Griffin | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 576.24$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 566.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Max Griffin | 21c | 521.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Max Griffin | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Max Griffin | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Max Griffin | 44c | 455.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Victor Valenzuela | 79c | 449.33$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Max Griffin | 26c | 441.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Max Griffin | 12c | 422.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 422$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Max Griffin | 45c | 414.21$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Max Griffin | 27c | 403.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…3497backed Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 376.56$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Victor Valenzuela | 78c | 316.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Max Griffin | 46c | 302.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Max Griffin | 24c | 297.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Max Griffin | 45c | 290.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 286.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Max Griffin | 11c | 280.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Max Griffin | 18c | 277.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Victor Valenzuela | 74c | 268.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 248.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 233.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…d289backed Max Griffin | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Max Griffin | 45c | 217.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 217.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…d2f5backed Max Griffin | 11c | 212.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 207.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 204.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Max Griffin | 47c | 202.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Max Griffin | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Max Griffin | 18c | 198.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 195.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Victor Valenzuela | 54c | 186.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…6559backed Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 183.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Victor Valenzuela | 56c | 171.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Max Griffin | 46c | 165.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked Max Griffin | 33c | 145.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Max Griffin | 14c | 142.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Victor Valenzuela | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 134.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Victor Valenzuela | 76c | 131.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Max Griffin | 32c | 130.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Victor Valenzuela | 53c | 125.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…f4e2backed Victor Valenzuela | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 225 | 68.9%155 W · 70 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Victor Valenzuela | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.